Well, the IPS went 7-7 on Championship week – about the same margin that the Horns managed to beat the Huskers. And, nothing to change the overal standing of the IPS which is 317-304 (51%) against the spread for the year.
With only one game that week, not much will change. For what it is worth: Army 9, Navy 20. So Navy wins but won’t cover.
Except for that final gam, here are the Impact Rankings leading into the bowl games. Texas’ IPS numbers took a hit, but narrowly remains #1. But, maybe the Horn Frogs do have an argument as they move up to #2 after the Gators lost to Bama.
I’ll work up a full bowl season report, but for those of you that just can’t wait, the different between the H2H numbers determines the IPS predicted spread for each matchup. Don’t forget to compensate for homefield advantages in certain cases. (Right now, I’m considering USC, Florida St. and the Aggies as having a HF Adv.)
| Off | Def | OppO | OppD | OImp | DImp | H2H | ||
| 1 | Texas | 40.7 | 15.2 | 27.5 | 24.5 | 16.2 | -12.4 | 27.0 |
| 2 | TCU | 40.7 | 12.4 | 23.8 | 27.2 | 13.4 | -11.4 | 26.5 |
| 3 | Boise State | 44.2 | 17.7 | 25.7 | 30.4 | 13.8 | -8.0 | 24.1 |
| 4 | Florida | 34.7 | 11.5 | 26.2 | 25.1 | 9.6 | -14.7 | 23.7 |
| 5 | Alabama | 31.7 | 11.0 | 27.6 | 24.2 | 7.5 | -16.6 | 22.4 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | 31.1 | 13.5 | 28.9 | 24.2 | 6.8 | -15.4 | 19.9 |
| 7 | Cincinnati | 39.8 | 20.8 | 25.3 | 26.0 | 13.8 | -4.5 | 18.7 |
| 8 | Virginia Tech | 31.4 | 15.8 | 26.6 | 22.5 | 8.9 | -10.8 | 17.7 |
| 9 | Ohio St. | 29.3 | 12.2 | 25.7 | 25.1 | 4.1 | -13.5 | 17.4 |
| 10 | Penn St. | 29.7 | 11.8 | 24.0 | 25.3 | 4.3 | -12.2 | 17.2 |
| 11 | Oregon | 37.7 | 23.6 | 28.1 | 24.3 | 13.4 | -4.5 | 16.0 |
| 12 | Nebraska | 24.5 | 11.2 | 27.6 | 23.7 | 0.8 | -16.4 | 15.3 |
| 13 | Texas Tech | 36.7 | 21.8 | 27.0 | 26.6 | 10.1 | -5.2 | 15.1 |
| 14 | Central Mich. | 33.2 | 17.2 | 24.1 | 27.6 | 5.6 | -6.9 | 14.2 |
| 15 | Pittsburgh | 33.2 | 20.0 | 26.3 | 24.9 | 8.2 | -6.3 | 13.9 |
| 16 | Houston | 43.9 | 28.8 | 25.7 | 28.9 | 15.0 | 3.1 | 13.5 |
| 17 | Arkansas | 37.3 | 25.8 | 27.1 | 24.6 | 12.7 | -1.3 | 12.8 |
| 18 | BYU | 34.8 | 21.7 | 25.6 | 26.5 | 8.2 | -3.9 | 12.6 |
| 19 | Nevada | 40.6 | 27.2 | 27.0 | 29.1 | 11.5 | 0.2 | 12.3 |
| 20 | Clemson | 31.9 | 21.0 | 27.7 | 25.5 | 6.5 | -6.7 | 12.0 |
| 21 | Air Force | 28.3 | 15.3 | 23.8 | 26.3 | 1.9 | -8.5 | 11.7 |
| 22 | LSU | 25.5 | 16.0 | 27.5 | 24.1 | 1.4 | -11.5 | 11.2 |
| 23 | Tennessee | 30.6 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 23.2 | 7.4 | -5.0 | 11.0 |
| 24 | Georgia Tech | 35.3 | 24.9 | 25.6 | 24.9 | 10.5 | -0.8 | 10.8 |
| 25 | Mississippi | 30.3 | 18.6 | 24.5 | 26.2 | 4.1 | -5.9 | 10.8 |
| 26 | Miami (Fla.) | 31.7 | 22.3 | 26.6 | 23.6 | 8.1 | -4.3 | 10.8 |
| 27 | Wisconsin | 32.8 | 22.4 | 25.7 | 25.3 | 7.5 | -3.3 | 10.6 |
| 28 | Stanford | 36.2 | 26.2 | 25.6 | 25.8 | 10.4 | 0.5 | 9.9 |
| 29 | Oklahoma St. | 30.2 | 21.8 | 28.2 | 26.9 | 3.3 | -6.4 | 9.1 |
| 30 | Oregon St. | 32.4 | 23.4 | 26.4 | 26.4 | 6.1 | -3.0 | 9.0 |
| 31 | Utah | 29.3 | 19.7 | 25.4 | 27.0 | 2.3 | -5.8 | 8.8 |
| 32 | Iowa | 23.1 | 15.5 | 25.5 | 23.6 | -0.5 | -10.0 | 8.5 |
| 33 | Rutgers | 27.5 | 17.4 | 23.4 | 27.2 | 0.3 | -6.0 | 8.2 |
| 34 | Connecticut | 32.1 | 25.0 | 25.4 | 23.6 | 8.4 | -0.4 | 8.0 |
| 35 | Auburn | 32.9 | 26.9 | 26.8 | 23.4 | 9.5 | 0.1 | 7.7 |
| 36 | Arizona | 29.7 | 23.2 | 26.0 | 24.7 | 5.0 | -2.8 | 7.1 |
| 37 | USC | 26.7 | 20.4 | 26.7 | 25.1 | 1.6 | -6.2 | 7.0 |
| 38 | North Carolina | 24.3 | 16.9 | 26.0 | 26.8 | -2.5 | -9.1 | 7.0 |
| 39 | Boston College | 25.8 | 19.4 | 25.8 | 24.7 | 1.0 | -6.4 | 6.9 |
| 40 | Northern Ill. | 30.8 | 21.2 | 23.9 | 29.8 | 0.9 | -2.8 | 6.6 |
| 41 | West Virginia | 26.6 | 20.8 | 26.2 | 24.9 | 1.7 | -5.5 | 6.5 |
| 42 | Missouri | 30.3 | 24.6 | 26.3 | 25.0 | 5.3 | -1.7 | 6.4 |
| 43 | Southern Miss. | 33.0 | 24.5 | 24.4 | 28.9 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 6.3 |
| 44 | Navy | 28.3 | 21.3 | 25.6 | 27.2 | 1.1 | -4.3 | 6.2 |
| 45 | Notre Dame | 30.1 | 25.9 | 29.0 | 25.5 | 4.6 | -3.1 | 5.9 |
| 46 | Fresno St. | 34.3 | 27.8 | 27.6 | 28.9 | 5.4 | 0.2 | 5.8 |
| 47 | Temple | 30.3 | 21.7 | 21.2 | 27.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 5.5 |
| 48 | Middle Tenn. | 31.2 | 23.0 | 25.1 | 30.6 | 0.5 | -2.1 | 5.4 |
| 49 | Michigan St. | 29.6 | 25.1 | 26.1 | 24.4 | 5.2 | -1.0 | 5.3 |
| 50 | East Caro. | 27.8 | 22.1 | 26.5 | 27.4 | 0.3 | -4.4 | 5.2 |
| 51 | UCF | 26.3 | 20.7 | 26.5 | 28.9 | -2.5 | -5.9 | 4.5 |
| 52 | Kentucky | 27.2 | 22.8 | 24.3 | 24.4 | 2.8 | -1.5 | 4.3 |
| 53 | South Fla. | 26.4 | 21.2 | 25.3 | 27.2 | -0.8 | -4.1 | 4.3 |
| 54 | California | 29.3 | 24.5 | 24.9 | 26.5 | 2.8 | -0.4 | 3.9 |
| 55 | Troy | 33.1 | 28.6 | 27.2 | 28.7 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 3.8 |
| 56 | South Carolina | 21.8 | 20.4 | 28.1 | 23.7 | -1.9 | -7.7 | 3.5 |
| 57 | Georgia | 27.7 | 26.4 | 27.1 | 22.8 | 4.9 | -0.7 | 3.4 |
| 58 | Ohio | 25.4 | 21.3 | 24.6 | 26.4 | -1.0 | -3.3 | 3.2 |
| 59 | Louisiana Tech | 29.2 | 25.8 | 27.2 | 28.3 | 0.8 | -1.4 | 2.8 |
| 60 | Kansas | 29.4 | 28.4 | 27.4 | 23.8 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 61 | Texas A&M | 33.9 | 32.7 | 28.0 | 25.2 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| 62 | Mississippi St. | 25.6 | 26.8 | 29.8 | 22.5 | 3.0 | -3.1 | 2.5 |
| 63 | Michigan | 29.5 | 27.5 | 25.2 | 25.4 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 64 | Florida St. | 29.8 | 30.8 | 27.9 | 23.3 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 65 | Bowling Green | 27.3 | 26.2 | 26.2 | 25.8 | 1.6 | -0.1 | 1.4 |
| 66 | UCLA | 21.3 | 21.3 | 27.4 | 25.2 | -3.9 | -6.2 | 1.2 |
| 67 | Arizona St. | 22.3 | 21.1 | 26.3 | 26.6 | -4.3 | -5.3 | 1.1 |
| 68 | Washington | 26.1 | 26.7 | 27.9 | 25.0 | 1.1 | -1.2 | 0.9 |
| 69 | Tulsa | 29.3 | 27.3 | 26.8 | 29.5 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 70 | Purdue | 27.8 | 29.1 | 28.6 | 25.3 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 71 | Wake Forest | 26.3 | 26.3 | 27.3 | 26.8 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 0.3 |
| 72 | Wyoming | 16.9 | 27.3 | 26.7 | 26.1 | -9.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| 73 | Northwestern | 25.2 | 23.3 | 23.1 | 27.2 | -2.0 | 0.3 | -0.2 |
| 74 | Buffalo | 24.1 | 23.8 | 24.6 | 25.9 | -1.9 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| 75 | Kansas St | 23.0 | 23.3 | 24.6 | 25.9 | -2.9 | -1.3 | -1.0 |
| 76 | NC St. | 30.3 | 31.2 | 24.5 | 25.5 | 4.8 | 6.7 | -1.3 |
| 77 | Minnesota | 21.6 | 24.6 | 26.0 | 22.9 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -1.5 |
| 78 | Iowa St. | 21.1 | 22.6 | 23.7 | 24.7 | -3.6 | -1.1 | -2.0 |
| 79 | Arkansas St. | 22.7 | 23.3 | 23.9 | 28.7 | -6.0 | -0.6 | -3.0 |
| 80 | SMU | 27.9 | 29.1 | 25.6 | 29.9 | -2.0 | 3.5 | -3.3 |
| 81 | La.-Monroe | 25.6 | 27.3 | 25.7 | 28.9 | -3.3 | 1.7 | -3.3 |
| 82 | Baylor | 20.8 | 27.3 | 28.1 | 22.9 | -2.1 | -0.9 | -3.9 |
| 83 | Idaho | 31.8 | 35.5 | 27.3 | 28.0 | 3.8 | 8.2 | -4.0 |
| 84 | Marshall | 21.8 | 24.9 | 25.6 | 27.9 | -6.0 | -0.7 | -4.2 |
| 85 | Illinois | 24.2 | 30.2 | 27.7 | 24.5 | -0.3 | 2.5 | -4.4 |
| 86 | Duke | 25.2 | 28.3 | 24.1 | 26.8 | -1.6 | 4.3 | -4.5 |
| 87 | Virginia | 19.3 | 26.3 | 28.0 | 23.7 | -4.4 | -1.6 | -4.9 |
| 88 | Utah St. | 29.1 | 34.0 | 28.1 | 28.5 | 0.6 | 5.9 | -5.1 |
| 89 | UAB | 27.8 | 32.3 | 27.6 | 28.9 | -1.1 | 4.7 | -5.2 |
| 90 | Colorado | 22.3 | 28.8 | 27.3 | 24.6 | -2.4 | 1.5 | -5.2 |
| 91 | Western Mich. | 24.7 | 27.5 | 23.5 | 28.6 | -3.9 | 4.0 | -5.4 |
| 92 | Syracuse | 21.2 | 27.9 | 25.9 | 23.1 | -2.0 | 2.0 | -5.4 |
| 93 | UTEP | 29.8 | 33.5 | 26.0 | 29.7 | 0.2 | 7.5 | -5.5 |
| 94 | Indiana | 23.5 | 29.5 | 24.7 | 24.4 | -0.9 | 4.8 | -5.8 |
| 95 | Kent St. | 19.3 | 22.4 | 21.8 | 27.4 | -8.1 | 0.6 | -5.9 |
| 96 | Louisville | 18.1 | 26.3 | 27.5 | 23.4 | -5.4 | -1.3 | -6.1 |
| 97 | Vanderbilt | 16.3 | 23.3 | 25.4 | 24.3 | -8.0 | -2.1 | -6.5 |
| 98 | UNLV | 24.8 | 32.4 | 26.5 | 25.9 | -1.0 | 5.9 | -7.3 |
| 99 | Fla. Atlantic | 27.4 | 33.8 | 24.6 | 27.9 | -0.4 | 9.1 | -7.9 |
| 100 | Colorado St. | 21.7 | 29.8 | 26.7 | 27.0 | -5.4 | 3.1 | -8.3 |
| 101 | Hawaii | 22.8 | 29.5 | 26.4 | 29.7 | -7.0 | 3.0 | -8.3 |
| 102 | San Diego St. | 23.3 | 30.5 | 24.1 | 26.7 | -3.4 | 6.4 | -8.5 |
| 103 | Toledo | 29.7 | 37.7 | 25.0 | 26.6 | 3.0 | 12.7 | -8.8 |
| 104 | Army | 16.5 | 22.4 | 21.7 | 27.7 | -11.3 | 0.7 | -9.0 |
| 105 | Maryland | 21.3 | 31.3 | 26.6 | 25.2 | -3.8 | 4.6 | -9.2 |
| 106 | Akron | 19.3 | 28.8 | 24.4 | 24.9 | -5.7 | 4.4 | -9.8 |
| 107 | La.-Lafayette | 22.2 | 30.3 | 24.5 | 27.9 | -5.7 | 5.8 | -9.8 |
| 108 | Wyoming | 16.9 | 27.3 | 26.7 | 26.1 | -9.2 | 0.5 | -10.0 |
| 109 | North Texas | 26.6 | 35.6 | 24.8 | 27.0 | -0.4 | 10.7 | -10.1 |
| 110 | Ball St. | 19.2 | 28.2 | 25.4 | 27.8 | -8.6 | 2.7 | -10.2 |
| 111 | Memphis | 21.8 | 34.8 | 28.6 | 26.2 | -4.4 | 6.2 | -11.8 |
| 112 | Florida Int’l | 22.9 | 35.3 | 27.7 | 26.6 | -3.7 | 7.6 | -11.8 |
| 113 | Miami (Ohio) | 15.6 | 34.2 | 29.0 | 23.9 | -8.3 | 5.2 | -16.0 |
| 114 | New Mexico | 16.3 | 35.9 | 27.6 | 25.2 | -8.9 | 8.3 | -18.4 |
| 115 | San Jose St. | 13.8 | 34.5 | 28.9 | 27.8 | -14.0 | 5.6 | -20.2 |
| 116 | Tulane | 16.1 | 36.7 | 26.5 | 27.5 | -11.4 | 10.1 | -21.1 |
| 117 | NM St. | 11.5 | 31.6 | 27.4 | 29.4 | -17.9 | 4.2 | -21.2 |
| 118 | Eastern Mich. | 16.4 | 38.3 | 26.2 | 25.3 | -8.9 | 12.0 | -21.4 |
| 119 | Rice | 18.3 | 43.1 | 28.4 | 26.5 | -8.3 | 14.7 | -23.9 |
| 120 | Washington St. | 12.0 | 38.5 | 28.5 | 24.6 | -12.6 | 10.0 | -24.5 |
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