IPS Predictions – Week 10

Second good week for the IPS in a row, going 29-21 against the spread. That raises the total for the year to 222-198 (53%). Maybe, it now has enough data (and teams are playing more consistently) that we can expect the IPS to continue to do well down the stretch.

Kind of a ho-hum week for college football. Not many big match ups. Bama should take care of LSU, tOSU and Penn St are fighting for second place in the Big 10 (at least until tOSU beats Iowa), and OU-Neb fighting to salvage some respectability.

One things for sure. The Horns will crush UCF, may even get the first shut-out of the season.

Prediction for			Week 10			IPS	Vegas
Army	4		Air Force	27		-22.5	-17.0
Baylor	19		Missouri	28		-9.2	-16.5
Boise State	38		Louisiana Tech	15		23.0	20.5
Bowling Green	26		Buffalo	26		-0.2	-4.0
BYU	31		Wyoming	17		14.4	13.0
Colorado St.	30		UNLV	29		1.2	1.5
Connecticut	15		Cincinnati	37		-22.4	-17.0
Duke	18		North Carolina	24		-5.6	-9.5
Eastern Mich.	10		Northern Ill.	40		-29.1	-21.0
Fla. Atlantic	33		UAB	33		-0.7	-4.5
Florida Int’l	22		Middle Tenn.	31		-9.2	-13.0
Florida St.	21		Clemson	36		-15.3	-8.5
Fresno St.	39		Idaho	30		9.4	7.0
Houston	35		Tulsa	29		5.8	2.0
Illinois	17		Minnesota	28		-10.8	-6.0
Kansas	31		Kansas St	26		4.3	2.5
Kent St.	21		Akron	16		5.1	3.0
La.-Lafayette	15		Arkansas St.	30		-15.5	-12.0
La.-Monroe	40		North Texas	35		5.2	1.0
Louisville	18		West Virginia	33		-15.0	-19.5
LSU	8		Alabama	22		-13.9	-9.0
Maryland	26		NC St.	40		-13.6	-7.0
Memphis	6		Tennessee	42		-36.3	-26.0
Miami (Ohio)	10		Temple	33		-23.1	-14.0
Navy	18		Notre Dame	34		-15.7	-11.0
Nevada	40		San Jose St.	21		19.2	12.5
New Mexico	5		Utah	39		-33.3	-27.0
Northwestern	12		Iowa	30		-18.3	-17.5
Ohio St.	13		Penn St.	20		-6.5	-3.5
Oklahoma	17		Nebraska	16		1.0	5.5
Oklahoma St.	27		Iowa St.	22		5.1	7.5
Oregon	33		Stanford	24		8.7	5.0
Oregon St.	26		California	34		-8.0	-6.5
Purdue	25		Michigan	34		-9.4	-4.0
Rice	18		SMU	46		-28.2	-18.0
South Carolina	22		Arkansas	31		-9.3	-5.5
USC	23		Arizona St.	18		4.0	11.0
Syracuse	13		Pittsburgh	39		-25.5	-20.5
TCU	37		San Diego St.	12		25.4	24.0
Texas A&M	36		Colorado	26		10.2	5.0
Troy	48		Western Kentucky	20		27.9	24.5
UCF	2		Texas	45		-42.6	-34.5
Utah St.	32		Hawaii	26		6.0	3.0
UTEP	37		Tulane	22		14.9	7.0
Vanderbilt	1		Florida	36		-35.8	-32.5
Virginia	17		Miami (Fla.)	29		-12.7	-13.5
Virginia Tech	36		East Caro.	14		22.1	11.5
Wake Forest	21		Georgia Tech	36		-14.8	-15.0
Washington	20		UCLA	25		-4.3	-4.5
Washington St.	13		Arizona	43		-30.2	-31.0
Western Mich.	16		Michigan St.	38		-21.8	-18.0
Wisconsin	33		Indiana	22		11.2	11.0

IPS Statistics – Week 10

Team	Off	Def	OppO	OppD	OImp	DImp
Air Force	26.4	13.6	23.2	25.5	0.9	-9.7
Akron	17.3	26.5	24.3	23.0	-5.8	2.2
Alabama	31.8	11.4	28.4	24.3	7.4	-17.0
Arizona	30.0	24.1	24.8	24.4	5.6	-0.6
Arizona St.	26.0	19.0	24.9	29.3	-3.3	-5.9
Arkansas	35.9	27.4	27.3	24.9	11.0	0.1
Arkansas St.	24.0	19.9	23.8	26.0	-2.0	-4.0
Army	16.9	22.6	22.0	26.1	-9.3	0.6
Auburn	31.9	26.1	27.8	21.9	10.0	-1.7
Ball St.	20.6	28.9	23.4	30.0	-9.4	5.5
Baylor	22.4	23.8	25.3	21.3	1.1	-1.5
Boise State	41.0	13.6	23.1	28.5	12.5	-9.4
Boston College	29.2	19.4	27.2	24.0	5.2	-7.8
Bowling Green	23.6	28.4	27.1	21.4	2.3	1.3
BYU	34.6	24.6	26.7	26.7	7.9	-2.0
Buffalo	23.1	25.6	24.5	25.0	-1.9	1.2
California	33.6	22.1	22.9	26.4	7.2	-0.8
Central Mich.	30.6	16.9	22.8	27.7	2.8	-5.9
Cincinnati	39.1	12.9	24.0	26.1	13.0	-11.1
Clemson	30.9	16.5	26.7	24.7	6.2	-10.2
Colorado	21.8	29.5	28.6	24.9	-3.1	0.9
Colorado St.	22.3	30.8	27.7	24.6	-2.3	3.1
Connecticut	27.8	20.6	24.3	23.0	4.7	-3.6
Duke	29.5	24.1	22.5	28.2	1.3	1.6
East Caro.	26.8	22.6	21.5	27.8	-1.0	1.1
Eastern Mich.	16.9	37.4	26.1	23.3	-6.4	11.3
Fla. Atlantic	26.7	34.3	25.0	25.7	1.0	9.3
Florida	36.0	11.0	26.5	25.0	11.0	-15.5
Florida Int’l	24.4	32.3	26.6	27.5	-3.1	5.6
Florida St.	31.8	29.8	28.4	24.3	7.5	1.4
Fresno St.	35.5	22.6	24.6	26.9	8.6	-1.9
Georgia	25.8	29.4	28.5	18.9	6.9	0.9
Georgia Tech	35.2	24.7	24.9	23.6	11.6	-0.2
Hawaii	21.5	32.9	27.6	28.8	-7.3	5.3
Houston	41.6	28.3	26.6	29.1	12.5	1.7
Idaho	31.9	31.1	23.6	28.6	3.3	7.5
Illinois	18.9	25.9	26.0	23.2	-4.4	-0.2
Indiana	23.7	28.2	23.2	24.1	-0.4	5.1
Iowa	25.7	15.8	25.7	23.4	2.2	-9.9
Iowa St.	22.7	21.4	24.6	23.4	-0.8	-3.2
Kansas	33.4	25.1	27.3	25.9	7.5	-2.2
Kansas St	27.1	23.9	24.3	27.4	-0.3	-0.4
Kent St.	21.3	20.6	21.1	27.7	-6.4	-0.6
Kentucky	25.9	24.0	26.2	22.9	2.9	-2.2
La.-Lafayette	22.0	30.9	24.4	29.5	-7.5	6.5
La.-Monroe	27.1	30.6	26.3	26.0	1.2	4.3
Louisiana Tech	27.0	23.8	25.0	30.1	-3.1	-1.2
Louisville	20.3	27.6	27.9	21.7	-1.5	-0.3
LSU	26.4	12.1	24.8	26.4	0.0	-12.7
Marshall	20.9	21.0	22.9	27.9	-7.0	-1.9
Maryland	21.6	31.6	25.8	23.6	-2.0	5.8
Memphis	21.1	30.4	24.9	25.0	-3.9	5.4
Miami (Fla.)	29.9	24.0	27.7	22.9	7.0	-3.7
Miami (Ohio)	13.8	33.2	28.9	22.1	-8.4	4.3
Michigan	31.6	25.1	23.6	25.3	6.3	1.5
Michigan St.	28.0	23.1	25.3	24.1	3.9	-2.2
Middle Tenn.	27.0	25.6	26.1	31.0	-4.0	-0.5
Minnesota	23.4	26.1	27.9	20.2	3.3	-1.8
Mississippi	28.9	16.0	24.6	25.9	2.9	-8.6
Mississippi St.	26.9	24.6	28.2	23.5	3.4	-3.6
Missouri	27.4	22.5	26.7	24.9	2.5	-4.2
Navy	29.4	21.4	25.6	25.6	3.8	-4.2
Nebraska	27.6	11.3	27.0	24.4	3.2	-15.7
Nevada	34.6	30.1	26.6	28.6	6.0	3.6
New Mexico	15.5	35.5	26.3	25.2	-9.7	9.2
NM St.	11.8	29.9	25.7	28.3	-16.5	4.2
North Carolina	22.8	16.5	24.6	26.8	-4.1	-8.1
NC St.	33.1	29.4	24.2	26.2	6.9	5.2
North Texas	30.8	39.0	25.4	28.0	2.8	13.6
Northern Ill.	28.9	18.1	22.8	30.4	-1.5	-4.7
Northwestern	25.7	24.8	21.6	27.9	-2.2	3.2
Notre Dame	31.3	22.9	27.2	26.5	4.7	-4.3
Ohio	24.4	20.6	21.7	28.1	-3.7	-1.2
Ohio St.	31.0	11.7	24.4	26.4	4.6	-12.7
Oklahoma	33.1	12.6	28.5	24.2	9.0	-15.9
Oklahoma St.	34.1	22.6	27.6	28.9	5.3	-5.0
Oregon	35.6	17.1	27.0	23.7	11.9	-9.8
Oregon St.	29.4	24.9	26.6	24.0	5.4	-1.7
Penn St.	30.7	9.3	22.4	25.5	5.1	-13.1
Pittsburgh	34.3	18.0	25.6	24.7	9.5	-7.6
Purdue	24.6	28.0	28.1	22.9	1.7	-0.1
Rice	14.9	45.5	28.2	23.1	-8.3	17.3
Rutgers	28.9	17.5	23.4	26.7	2.2	-5.9
San Diego St.	26.3	26.9	21.7	28.3	-2.0	5.1
San Jose St.	15.1	35.1	29.8	23.4	-8.2	5.3
South Carolina	21.9	19.0	25.7	24.7	-2.8	-6.7
South Fla.	30.8	17.6	25.0	28.9	1.8	-7.4
USC	30.0	19.1	27.0	25.1	4.9	-7.8
SMU	26.5	29.4	26.5	26.6	-0.1	2.9
Southern Miss.	33.9	23.9	23.6	29.0	4.9	0.3
Stanford	31.9	22.4	23.0	27.1	4.8	-0.6
Syracuse	21.6	27.4	26.0	22.2	-0.6	1.4
TCU	35.3	11.1	24.7	26.0	9.2	-13.6
Temple	26.1	20.4	22.2	27.6	-1.5	-1.8
Tennessee	29.1	17.8	26.5	23.2	5.9	-8.8
Texas	41.8	13.6	28.5	24.8	16.9	-14.9
Texas A&M	35.8	30.0	28.4	27.3	8.4	1.6
Texas Tech	40.2	23.4	27.7	27.9	12.3	-4.2
Toledo	28.6	37.4	24.1	25.5	3.1	13.4
Troy	30.3	26.9	27.2	27.5	2.7	-0.3
Tulane	13.4	37.4	26.7	23.9	-10.5	10.7
Tulsa	27.8	20.5	22.7	30.7	-3.0	-2.2
UAB	24.8	33.4	27.1	28.3	-3.6	6.3
UCF	24.6	19.1	22.8	28.9	-4.3	-3.6
UCLA	19.9	23.0	30.4	22.4	-2.5	-7.4
UNLV	24.2	33.8	25.3	26.4	-2.1	8.5
Utah	27.1	16.8	23.7	26.6	0.6	-6.9
Utah St.	27.0	31.1	27.2	27.0	0.0	3.9
UTEP	26.0	33.9	28.2	25.8	0.2	5.7
Vanderbilt	18.2	22.0	23.1	25.8	-7.5	-1.1
Virginia	21.4	21.8	26.7	24.8	-3.4	-4.9
Virginia Tech	30.6	19.3	28.4	19.0	11.6	-9.1
Wake Forest	24.0	23.3	26.7	25.2	-1.2	-3.3
Washington	24.6	29.8	30.4	21.0	3.6	-0.6
Washington St.	15.0	37.4	29.5	23.1	-8.1	7.8
West Virginia	29.8	22.4	24.1	25.3	4.4	-1.7
Western Kentucky	20.5	45.1	25.6	27.8	-7.3	19.5
Western Mich.	25.6	27.2	23.7	27.0	-1.5	3.6
Wisconsin	29.4	21.8	26.1	22.9	6.5	-4.3
Wyoming	18.3	23.4	24.4	26.9	-8.6	-1.0