October 27, 2009
I’m traveling this week, so don’t have much time to add my own thoughts, but here’s what the IPS has to say about this week’s game.
| Prediction for |
|
|
Week 9 |
|
|
IPS |
Vegas |
| Air Force |
28 |
|
Colorado St. |
13 |
|
15.7 |
4.0 |
| Akron |
13 |
|
Northern Ill. |
29 |
|
-15.6 |
-10.0 |
| Arkansas St. |
22 |
|
Louisville |
23 |
|
-0.7 |
-4.5 |
| California |
27 |
|
Arizona St. |
24 |
|
2.3 |
7.0 |
| Central Mich. |
20 |
|
Boston College |
28 |
|
-8.0 |
-4.0 |
| Cincinnati |
42 |
|
Syracuse |
15 |
|
26.8 |
14.5 |
| Duke |
22 |
|
Virginia |
25 |
|
-3.0 |
-7.0 |
| East Caro. |
28 |
|
Memphis |
22 |
|
6.0 |
4.0 |
| Eastern Mich. |
11 |
|
Arkansas |
48 |
|
-37.3 |
-36.5 |
| Georgia |
12 |
|
Florida |
40 |
|
-27.3 |
-16.5 |
| Georgia Tech |
27 |
|
Vanderbilt |
16 |
|
10.6 |
13.0 |
| Hawaii |
24 |
|
Nevada |
42 |
|
-18.7 |
0.0 |
| Indiana |
10 |
|
Iowa |
30 |
|
-19.7 |
-17.5 |
| Iowa St. |
30 |
|
Texas A&M |
32 |
|
-2.2 |
-7.0 |
| Kansas |
31 |
|
Texas Tech |
38 |
|
-7.0 |
-7.5 |
| Kansas St |
5 |
|
Oklahoma |
32 |
|
-27.5 |
-25.0 |
| La.-Lafayette |
29 |
|
Florida Int’l |
33 |
|
-4.4 |
-3.5 |
| La.-Monroe |
28 |
|
Troy |
32 |
|
-4.3 |
-17.0 |
| Louisiana Tech |
28 |
|
Idaho |
28 |
|
0.0 |
-3.0 |
| Marshall |
13 |
|
UCF |
20 |
|
-7.1 |
-3.5 |
| Miami (Fla.) |
27 |
|
Wake Forest |
22 |
|
4.8 |
7.0 |
| Michigan |
36 |
|
Illinois |
17 |
|
19.3 |
8.5 |
| Michigan St. |
25 |
|
Minnesota |
21 |
|
4.1 |
5.0 |
| Middle Tenn. |
35 |
|
Fla. Atlantic |
30 |
|
4.5 |
-1.5 |
| Mississippi |
29 |
|
Auburn |
25 |
|
4.4 |
4.0 |
| Mississippi St. |
23 |
|
Kentucky |
28 |
|
-4.7 |
-3.0 |
| Missouri |
27 |
|
Colorado |
21 |
|
6.1 |
4.0 |
| Nebraska |
26 |
|
Baylor |
12 |
|
14.4 |
13.0 |
| New Mexico |
18 |
|
San Diego St. |
38 |
|
-20.0 |
-17.5 |
| NM St. |
-9 |
|
Ohio St. |
40 |
|
-48.7 |
-39.5 |
| North Carolina |
12 |
|
Virginia Tech |
30 |
|
-18.6 |
-17.0 |
| NC St. |
32 |
|
Florida St. |
35 |
|
-3.3 |
-8.0 |
| Ohio |
29 |
|
Ball St. |
17 |
|
12.6 |
7.5 |
| Penn St. |
30 |
|
Northwestern |
12 |
|
17.4 |
14.0 |
| Purdue |
26 |
|
Wisconsin |
33 |
|
-6.7 |
-6.5 |
| Rutgers |
20 |
|
Connecticut |
23 |
|
-2.8 |
-7.7 |
| San Jose St. |
4 |
|
Boise State |
49 |
|
-44.1 |
-34.5 |
| South Carolina |
14 |
|
Tennessee |
24 |
|
-10.2 |
-4.5 |
| USC |
19 |
|
Oregon |
27 |
|
-7.8 |
3.5 |
| SMU |
20 |
|
Tulsa |
35 |
|
-15.0 |
-17.0 |
| Southern Miss. |
29 |
|
Houston |
38 |
|
-8.8 |
-7.0 |
| Temple |
18 |
|
Navy |
28 |
|
-10.0 |
-7.0 |
| Texas |
34 |
|
Oklahoma St. |
24 |
|
10.5 |
9.5 |
| Toledo |
36 |
|
Miami (Ohio) |
27 |
|
8.6 |
6.0 |
| Tulane |
-4 |
|
LSU |
43 |
|
-46.7 |
-34.0 |
| UAB |
27 |
|
UTEP |
34 |
|
-7.4 |
-6.5 |
| UCLA |
19 |
|
Oregon St. |
27 |
|
-8.9 |
-8.5 |
| UNLV |
11 |
|
TCU |
45 |
|
-34.2 |
-33.0 |
| Utah St. |
21 |
|
Fresno St. |
43 |
|
-22.1 |
-16.0 |
| Washington St. |
11 |
|
Notre Dame |
42 |
|
-31.3 |
-29.5 |
| West Virginia |
22 |
|
South Fla. |
28 |
|
-6.3 |
3.0 |
| Western Kentucky |
27 |
|
North Texas |
42 |
|
-15.1 |
-10.5 |
| Western Mich. |
23 |
|
Kent St. |
23 |
|
0.1 |
-1.0 |
| Wyoming |
8 |
|
Utah |
28 |
|
-20.3 |
-16.5 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Week 9 | Tagged: college football, impact prediction system, longhorns, predictions, vegas line, Week 9 |
Permalink
Posted by Jack Barber
October 27, 2009
After a couple weeks of batting the 500, the IPS finally has a good week going 28-23 ATS, raising the season totals to 193-177.
| Team |
Off |
Def |
OppO |
OppD |
OImp |
DImp |
| Air Force |
25.5 |
13.3 |
23.3 |
25.4 |
0.1 |
-10.0 |
| Akron |
18.3 |
26.4 |
24.3 |
23.2 |
-4.9 |
2.1 |
| Alabama |
31.8 |
11.4 |
27.9 |
23.9 |
7.9 |
-16.5 |
| Arizona |
30.0 |
24.1 |
24.9 |
24.0 |
6.0 |
-0.8 |
| Arizona St. |
26.7 |
18.4 |
24.0 |
29.9 |
-3.2 |
-5.6 |
| Arkansas |
32.0 |
27.4 |
29.0 |
22.9 |
9.1 |
-1.6 |
| Arkansas St. |
25.8 |
19.7 |
24.2 |
25.9 |
0.0 |
-4.6 |
| Army |
16.9 |
22.6 |
22.2 |
24.9 |
-8.1 |
0.5 |
| Auburn |
31.8 |
26.9 |
27.0 |
22.6 |
9.2 |
-0.1 |
| Ball St. |
21.0 |
30.0 |
22.5 |
30.6 |
-9.6 |
7.5 |
| Baylor |
24.1 |
24.3 |
25.3 |
21.6 |
2.5 |
-1.0 |
| Boise State |
40.4 |
14.6 |
24.0 |
27.4 |
13.0 |
-9.5 |
| Boston College |
29.0 |
20.6 |
26.1 |
24.9 |
4.1 |
-5.4 |
| Bowling Green |
23.6 |
28.4 |
27.0 |
21.8 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
| BYU |
34.6 |
24.6 |
26.9 |
26.2 |
8.4 |
-2.3 |
| Buffalo |
23.1 |
25.6 |
25.0 |
24.6 |
-1.5 |
0.7 |
| California |
35.1 |
22.3 |
22.1 |
26.6 |
8.6 |
0.2 |
| Central Mich. |
33.1 |
15.1 |
22.0 |
28.0 |
5.1 |
-6.9 |
| Cincinnati |
40.7 |
13.7 |
24.2 |
26.2 |
14.5 |
-10.5 |
| Clemson |
28.3 |
18.4 |
28.4 |
23.1 |
5.2 |
-9.9 |
| Colorado |
22.4 |
28.6 |
29.5 |
24.5 |
-2.1 |
-1.0 |
| Colorado St. |
23.1 |
30.4 |
28.0 |
26.4 |
-3.3 |
2.4 |
| Connecticut |
28.3 |
19.6 |
24.2 |
24.1 |
4.2 |
-4.6 |
| Duke |
29.7 |
25.1 |
23.0 |
28.4 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
| East Caro. |
25.1 |
23.1 |
21.8 |
27.6 |
-2.4 |
1.3 |
| Eastern Mich. |
15.4 |
33.7 |
25.6 |
22.3 |
-6.9 |
8.2 |
| Fla. Atlantic |
27.8 |
35.5 |
24.5 |
25.3 |
2.6 |
11.0 |
| Florida |
35.3 |
10.1 |
25.4 |
24.7 |
10.6 |
-15.2 |
| Florida Int’l |
25.0 |
34.4 |
27.0 |
26.3 |
-1.3 |
7.5 |
| Florida St. |
29.9 |
28.0 |
27.4 |
23.5 |
6.4 |
0.6 |
| Fresno St. |
36.1 |
22.0 |
24.6 |
26.5 |
9.6 |
-2.6 |
| Georgia |
27.0 |
27.7 |
26.9 |
19.1 |
7.9 |
0.8 |
| Georgia Tech |
32.6 |
23.9 |
25.5 |
23.6 |
9.0 |
-1.6 |
| Hawaii |
21.6 |
33.1 |
26.9 |
28.2 |
-6.6 |
6.3 |
| Houston |
40.4 |
26.1 |
25.9 |
29.7 |
10.7 |
0.2 |
| Idaho |
31.5 |
30.8 |
23.8 |
29.2 |
2.3 |
7.0 |
| Illinois |
16.1 |
27.7 |
25.1 |
22.5 |
-6.3 |
2.6 |
| Indiana |
23.6 |
26.5 |
23.2 |
25.1 |
-1.4 |
3.3 |
| Iowa |
23.6 |
14.8 |
26.4 |
22.4 |
1.2 |
-11.7 |
| Iowa St. |
24.3 |
19.8 |
23.4 |
22.1 |
2.2 |
-3.7 |
| Kansas |
35.1 |
22.7 |
25.4 |
25.1 |
10.1 |
-2.6 |
| Kansas St |
26.8 |
21.6 |
23.5 |
29.5 |
-2.7 |
-1.9 |
| Kent St. |
20.8 |
21.4 |
20.6 |
27.5 |
-6.8 |
0.8 |
| Kentucky |
26.1 |
23.0 |
25.9 |
22.7 |
3.4 |
-2.9 |
| La.-Lafayette |
22.7 |
32.4 |
23.0 |
28.5 |
-5.8 |
9.5 |
| La.-Monroe |
28.0 |
29.0 |
26.4 |
26.1 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
| Louisiana Tech |
26.0 |
22.1 |
24.3 |
29.9 |
-3.9 |
-2.2 |
| Louisville |
20.1 |
29.7 |
28.8 |
21.5 |
-1.4 |
0.9 |
| LSU |
24.1 |
13.9 |
26.3 |
24.2 |
0.0 |
-12.5 |
| Marshall |
20.9 |
21.0 |
23.0 |
28.7 |
-7.8 |
-2.0 |
| Maryland |
21.6 |
31.6 |
25.8 |
23.8 |
-2.2 |
5.8 |
| Memphis |
21.4 |
29.3 |
24.5 |
24.6 |
-3.1 |
4.7 |
| Miami (Fla.) |
30.1 |
23.6 |
27.3 |
22.4 |
7.8 |
-3.8 |
| Miami (Ohio) |
11.6 |
34.4 |
29.6 |
20.5 |
-8.9 |
4.8 |
| Michigan |
33.9 |
23.5 |
23.6 |
24.3 |
9.6 |
-0.1 |
| Michigan St. |
27.3 |
20.8 |
25.5 |
24.0 |
3.3 |
-4.7 |
| Middle Tenn. |
27.0 |
26.4 |
24.0 |
30.2 |
-3.2 |
2.4 |
| Minnesota |
21.1 |
25.1 |
28.4 |
20.0 |
1.1 |
-3.2 |
| Mississippi |
30.1 |
13.6 |
22.7 |
25.0 |
5.2 |
-9.2 |
| Mississippi St. |
26.4 |
24.6 |
27.4 |
22.9 |
3.5 |
-2.8 |
| Missouri |
26.1 |
23.3 |
27.7 |
24.3 |
1.8 |
-4.4 |
| Navy |
30.1 |
20.8 |
24.5 |
26.0 |
4.1 |
-3.8 |
| Nebraska |
28.7 |
11.4 |
28.5 |
24.8 |
3.9 |
-17.0 |
| Nevada |
35.1 |
31.4 |
27.3 |
27.8 |
7.3 |
4.1 |
| New Mexico |
14.9 |
37.3 |
27.3 |
24.8 |
-10.0 |
10.0 |
| NM St. |
13.3 |
28.0 |
24.8 |
30.3 |
-17.0 |
3.2 |
| North Carolina |
23.1 |
16.4 |
23.0 |
27.3 |
-4.2 |
-6.6 |
| NC St. |
31.9 |
27.1 |
23.2 |
25.7 |
6.2 |
3.9 |
| North Texas |
25.4 |
37.6 |
26.3 |
26.4 |
-0.9 |
11.3 |
| Northern Ill. |
29.1 |
19.3 |
23.8 |
31.5 |
-2.3 |
-4.5 |
| Northwestern |
27.3 |
23.6 |
20.2 |
29.1 |
-1.8 |
3.4 |
| Notre Dame |
30.0 |
24.1 |
29.9 |
24.0 |
6.0 |
-5.7 |
| Ohio |
25.0 |
21.0 |
21.0 |
28.0 |
-3.0 |
0.0 |
| Ohio St. |
29.3 |
13.1 |
25.9 |
25.7 |
3.6 |
-12.8 |
| Oklahoma |
31.9 |
10.1 |
29.6 |
23.7 |
8.1 |
-19.5 |
| Oklahoma St. |
37.0 |
20.0 |
25.7 |
31.1 |
5.9 |
-5.7 |
| Oregon |
34.0 |
16.7 |
27.3 |
24.4 |
9.6 |
-10.6 |
| Oregon St. |
29.9 |
25.7 |
28.5 |
23.5 |
6.3 |
-2.8 |
| Penn St. |
30.3 |
8.9 |
21.8 |
25.3 |
4.9 |
-12.9 |
| Pittsburgh |
34.3 |
18.0 |
25.6 |
24.3 |
9.9 |
-7.6 |
| Purdue |
27.6 |
26.9 |
27.0 |
23.5 |
4.1 |
-0.1 |
| Rice |
14.9 |
45.5 |
28.3 |
22.2 |
-7.3 |
17.2 |
| Rutgers |
29.0 |
16.6 |
23.1 |
28.0 |
1.0 |
-6.5 |
| San Diego St. |
26.7 |
27.9 |
22.8 |
26.8 |
-0.1 |
5.1 |
| San Jose St. |
16.5 |
33.5 |
28.4 |
24.3 |
-7.8 |
5.1 |
| South Carolina |
23.0 |
17.5 |
25.4 |
24.2 |
-1.2 |
-7.9 |
| South Fla. |
30.9 |
17.4 |
24.0 |
29.2 |
1.6 |
-6.6 |
| USC |
31.4 |
15.1 |
25.8 |
26.5 |
4.9 |
-10.6 |
| SMU |
26.4 |
31.7 |
25.7 |
27.3 |
-0.9 |
6.0 |
| Southern Miss. |
32.8 |
20.6 |
21.6 |
28.7 |
4.0 |
-1.0 |
| Stanford |
31.9 |
22.4 |
23.3 |
26.7 |
5.1 |
-0.9 |
| Syracuse |
23.7 |
27.3 |
24.4 |
23.0 |
0.8 |
2.9 |
| TCU |
34.4 |
12.7 |
24.5 |
25.3 |
9.1 |
-11.8 |
| Temple |
26.0 |
19.9 |
21.0 |
28.1 |
-2.1 |
-1.2 |
| Tennessee |
28.9 |
18.4 |
26.7 |
23.1 |
5.8 |
-8.3 |
| Texas |
41.9 |
13.6 |
27.6 |
24.5 |
17.3 |
-14.0 |
| Texas A&M |
35.9 |
32.9 |
28.6 |
27.8 |
8.1 |
4.2 |
| Texas Tech |
40.0 |
23.8 |
26.9 |
28.3 |
11.7 |
-3.1 |
| Toledo |
29.1 |
38.3 |
25.9 |
24.9 |
4.2 |
12.3 |
| Troy |
28.6 |
27.7 |
26.4 |
27.2 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
| Tulane |
15.3 |
36.7 |
26.7 |
24.6 |
-9.4 |
10.0 |
| Tulsa |
29.9 |
19.6 |
22.0 |
30.8 |
-0.9 |
-2.4 |
| UAB |
22.9 |
33.4 |
27.1 |
27.6 |
-4.7 |
6.4 |
| UCF |
24.6 |
19.1 |
22.7 |
29.4 |
-4.8 |
-3.6 |
| UCLA |
20.0 |
22.6 |
30.5 |
21.9 |
-1.9 |
-7.9 |
| UNLV |
27.3 |
32.9 |
24.4 |
28.9 |
-1.7 |
8.5 |
| Utah |
27.9 |
17.7 |
24.8 |
26.8 |
1.1 |
-7.1 |
| Utah St. |
27.0 |
31.1 |
26.3 |
27.8 |
-0.8 |
4.8 |
| UTEP |
25.0 |
33.3 |
29.3 |
23.6 |
1.4 |
4.0 |
| Vanderbilt |
16.6 |
17.8 |
21.7 |
25.4 |
-8.8 |
-4.0 |
| Virginia |
22.0 |
20.9 |
25.7 |
24.2 |
-2.2 |
-4.8 |
| Virginia Tech |
32.6 |
19.1 |
29.0 |
19.6 |
13.0 |
-9.8 |
| Wake Forest |
23.6 |
22.8 |
26.1 |
25.4 |
-1.8 |
-3.3 |
| Washington |
24.6 |
29.8 |
30.0 |
20.7 |
3.9 |
-0.2 |
| Washington St. |
15.1 |
37.0 |
29.6 |
22.8 |
-7.7 |
7.4 |
| West Virginia |
31.3 |
21.3 |
23.4 |
26.3 |
5.0 |
-2.1 |
| Western Kentucky |
16.4 |
41.9 |
25.2 |
26.8 |
-10.4 |
16.7 |
| Western Mich. |
27.0 |
27.4 |
24.4 |
27.6 |
-0.6 |
3.0 |
| Wisconsin |
28.3 |
24.9 |
25.4 |
21.9 |
6.4 |
-0.6 |
| Wyoming |
19.4 |
23.6 |
24.5 |
28.4 |
-9.0 |
-0.9 |
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Week 9 | Tagged: college football, impact prediction system, longhorns, predictions, vegas line, Week 9 |
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Posted by Jack Barber