IPS Rankings – Week 11

		Off	Def	OppO	OppD	OImp	DImp	H2H
1	Texas	41.0	12.4	27.6	24.6	16.4	-15.2	30.0
2	Florida	35.0	10.1	25.9	24.3	10.7	-15.8	25.7
3	TCU	37.4	11.2	25.2	26.4	11.0	-14.0	25.6
4	Cincinnati	40.0	16.4	24.5	25.7	14.3	-8.0	23.0
5	Boise State	41.4	16.0	24.3	29.3	12.1	-8.3	23.0
6	Alabama	30.9	11.8	28.0	23.0	7.9	-16.2	21.6
7	Oklahoma	29.8	12.3	28.7	22.3	7.5	-16.3	20.6
8	Ohio St.	30.3	11.2	25.0	25.1	5.2	-13.8	19.1
9	Pittsburgh	34.6	17.1	25.2	25.4	9.2	-8.0	17.3
10	Oregon	36.3	20.9	27.7	24.2	12.2	-6.8	17.2
11	Nebraska	25.7	10.3	27.2	23.5	2.2	-16.8	17.2
12	Penn St.	28.3	10.8	23.3	24.4	3.9	-12.5	17.0
13	Texas Tech	40.2	23.4	27.2	27.6	12.6	-3.7	16.6
14	Clemson	31.9	17.3	28.0	25.4	6.4	-10.7	15.9
15	Virginia Tech	29.0	17.4	27.4	19.1	10.0	-10.0	15.8
16	Tennessee	32.1	18.9	26.3	24.0	8.1	-7.4	14.3
17	BYU	36.6	21.9	25.7	27.2	9.4	-3.8	13.9
18	Oklahoma St.	34.1	21.0	27.4	28.1	6.0	-6.4	12.8
19	LSU	25.1	13.4	26.1	24.2	0.9	-12.7	12.6
20	Air Force	27.3	12.9	22.5	26.2	1.1	-9.6	12.5
21	Mississippi	29.9	15.8	23.6	27.7	2.2	-7.8	12.1
22	Houston	42.1	30.1	27.5	28.4	13.7	2.6	11.5
23	Central Mich.	30.6	16.9	23.3	27.8	2.8	-6.4	11.4
24	Boston College	29.2	19.4	27.0	24.2	5.0	-7.6	11.2
25	Fresno St.	35.0	22.4	25.8	28.7	6.3	-3.3	11.1
26	South Fla.	30.8	17.6	24.7	29.3	1.5	-7.1	10.8
27	Arkansas	35.6	26.1	26.9	24.2	11.3	-0.8	10.8
28	USC	28.2	18.0	26.1	25.1	3.1	-8.1	10.7
29	Miami (Fla.)	32.3	23.2	26.1	23.4	8.9	-2.9	10.4
30	Georgia Tech	34.7	24.9	24.7	23.8	10.9	0.2	10.2
31	Auburn	35.0	26.6	26.5	23.5	11.5	0.1	9.9
32	Northern Ill.	31.2	16.8	22.3	31.7	-0.4	-5.5	9.7
33	Utah	29.1	16.4	22.6	28.6	0.5	-6.2	9.6
34	Rutgers	28.9	17.5	23.7	27.9	1.0	-6.2	9.3
35	Iowa	24.1	15.9	25.7	23.6	0.5	-9.8	9.2
36	Arizona	32.3	22.0	23.6	26.2	6.1	-1.6	8.9
37	Wisconsin	29.6	22.4	26.3	23.4	6.1	-3.8	8.6
38	Stanford	34.0	24.6	24.4	26.4	7.6	0.2	8.4
39	Nevada	38.2	27.6	25.6	30.2	8.0	2.0	8.3
40	Notre Dame	30.1	22.9	27.9	25.7	4.4	-5.0	8.3
41	Connecticut	29.7	23.6	25.9	21.9	7.8	-2.4	8.1
42	Michigan St.	30.1	22.2	25.2	24.9	5.2	-3.0	8.1
43	Navy	28.8	21.4	26.5	25.4	3.4	-5.1	8.0
44	Oregon St.	29.6	23.7	27.5	23.9	5.6	-3.8	7.7
45	Kansas	30.8	24.2	26.7	25.7	5.1	-2.5	7.0
46	Southern Miss.	33.9	23.9	23.7	29.8	4.1	0.2	6.9
47	California	31.4	23.1	23.5	26.6	4.8	-0.3	6.7
48	West Virginia	28.3	20.9	23.8	25.9	2.4	-2.9	6.4
49	North Carolina	22.3	15.3	24.4	27.0	-4.7	-9.0	5.7
50	Texas A&M	35.6	30.6	28.0	27.6	8.0	2.6	5.2
51	Missouri	27.9	24.4	27.0	24.3	3.6	-2.6	4.8
52	Mississippi St.	26.9	24.6	28.5	23.7	3.2	-3.9	4.7
53	Kentucky	27.1	22.7	24.8	24.3	2.8	-2.1	4.7
54	Arizona St.	24.1	18.4	25.4	27.7	-3.5	-6.9	4.5
55	Michigan	32.0	26.4	23.5	26.2	5.8	2.9	4.3
56	Troy	31.3	26.1	26.7	29.0	2.3	-0.6	4.1
57	Georgia	27.1	26.1	26.2	21.0	6.1	-0.1	3.6
58	Tulsa	29.7	23.3	25.3	31.0	-1.3	-2.0	3.5
59	Florida St.	30.9	30.9	29.2	23.0	7.9	1.7	3.1
60	NC St.	33.7	29.6	23.6	27.1	6.6	5.9	2.4
61	Kansas St	26.1	22.5	24.6	27.1	-1.0	-2.1	2.3
62	South Carolina	21.3	20.4	27.2	24.8	-3.5	-6.8	2.1
63	Arkansas St.	23.3	20.0	23.2	26.0	-2.8	-3.2	1.8
64	Wake Forest	24.3	24.0	28.3	25.5	-1.2	-4.3	1.7
65	Temple	27.0	21.7	21.0	28.7	-1.7	0.7	1.4
66	Louisiana Tech	27.9	26.1	27.8	28.5	-0.6	-1.7	1.4
67	Middle Tenn.	29.3	25.1	26.0	31.9	-2.6	-0.9	1.3
68	Baylor	24.3	24.7	25.0	22.0	2.4	-0.4	1.2
69	Ohio	24.4	20.6	22.4	28.5	-4.0	-1.8	0.8
70	Duke	26.9	23.6	22.0	27.1	-0.2	1.5	0.8
71	UCLA	20.3	23.0	30.1	23.9	-3.5	-7.1	0.5
72	Minnesota	24.3	27.0	26.9	21.0	3.3	0.1	0.2
73	Wyoming	16.2	26.6	26.3	26.3	-10.1	0.3	0.0
74	East Caro.	24.1	21.9	22.1	26.7	-2.5	-0.2	-0.1
75	UCF	21.8	21.0	25.1	27.1	-5.3	-4.1	-0.2
76	Purdue	25.9	28.8	28.8	23.5	2.4	0.0	-0.3
77	La.-Monroe	27.8	27.9	26.4	27.4	0.3	1.5	-0.6
78	Iowa St.	21.2	22.7	24.9	23.2	-2.0	-2.2	-0.7
79	Washington	24.4	29.1	29.0	21.6	2.8	0.1	-1.0
80	Northwestern	24.8	23.3	22.0	27.2	-2.4	1.3	-1.1
81	Idaho	30.8	31.1	25.4	28.4	2.4	5.7	-1.8
82	Bowling Green	24.3	28.4	26.9	22.4	2.0	1.6	-1.9
83	Marshall	20.8	21.0	22.9	27.9	-7.1	-1.9	-2.7
84	Virginia	20.9	25.1	27.3	24.5	-3.6	-2.2	-2.8
85	Buffalo	23.8	26.1	24.4	25.9	-2.1	1.7	-3.1
86	Kent St.	21.2	21.3	20.9	28.1	-6.9	0.4	-3.7
87	SMU	27.0	29.2	25.8	29.0	-2.0	3.4	-3.8
88	Louisville	19.0	26.4	28.6	22.1	-3.1	-2.2	-4.2
89	Indiana	24.1	28.5	23.7	24.4	-0.3	4.8	-4.8
90	Utah St.	28.0	33.1	27.8	27.3	0.7	5.3	-4.9
91	Illinois	20.7	26.6	26.0	24.1	-3.5	0.5	-4.9
92	Colorado	23.2	30.0	28.5	25.6	-2.4	1.5	-5.3
93	UAB	28.2	32.9	27.7	29.2	-1.0	5.2	-5.4
94	Syracuse	20.3	28.4	26.8	21.9	-1.5	1.7	-5.7
95	Vanderbilt	16.7	22.5	24.4	24.1	-7.4	-1.9	-5.7
96	Western Mich.	24.4	29.4	24.9	26.7	-2.3	4.5	-5.9
97	San Diego St.	24.7	30.0	23.6	26.2	-1.5	6.4	-6.6
98	Akron	18.4	25.8	23.9	23.0	-4.6	1.8	-6.9
99	UNLV	25.3	32.0	26.0	26.6	-1.3	6.0	-7.0
100	Colorado St.	21.7	31.2	28.4	25.1	-3.4	2.8	-7.8
101	UTEP	27.3	35.1	27.3	27.7	-0.4	7.8	-8.0
102	Maryland	22.7	32.3	26.5	24.8	-2.1	5.8	-8.8
103	Hawaii	24.6	33.2	28.0	29.4	-4.9	5.2	-9.4
104	Toledo	28.6	37.4	24.7	26.0	2.6	12.8	-9.5
105	Army	15.8	24.0	22.3	25.1	-9.3	1.7	-9.6
106	Florida Int’l	24.0	34.0	26.9	26.6	-2.6	7.1	-9.9
107	La.-Lafayette	21.9	29.4	23.5	28.7	-6.8	6.0	-10.2
108	Wyoming	16.2	26.6	26.3	26.3	-10.1	0.3	-10.4
109	Memphis	21.9	33.2	25.6	24.5	-2.6	7.6	-10.8
110	Fla. Atlantic	27.0	37.0	24.8	26.4	0.6	12.2	-10.8
111	North Texas	28.0	38.3	26.0	27.9	0.1	12.4	-11.3
112	Ball St.	20.6	28.9	23.4	30.4	-9.9	5.5	-11.9
113	Miami (Ohio)	15.6	33.3	29.0	22.6	-7.0	4.3	-14.5
114	Tulane	16.9	37.4	27.0	25.6	-8.7	10.5	-19.9
115	NM St.	11.8	29.9	25.6	29.3	-17.5	4.2	-19.9
116	New Mexico	15.3	36.6	26.6	25.0	-9.7	9.9	-20.4
117	San Jose St.	14.2	38.1	31.0	24.3	-10.0	7.1	-20.5
118	Eastern Mich.	15.7	38.8	26.5	22.8	-7.1	12.3	-21.3
119	Washington St.	14.1	38.6	29.8	23.6	-9.5	8.8	-21.4
120	Rice	16.3	43.9	27.8	24.1	-7.7	16.0	-25.7

IPS Predictions – Week 10

Second good week for the IPS in a row, going 29-21 against the spread. That raises the total for the year to 222-198 (53%). Maybe, it now has enough data (and teams are playing more consistently) that we can expect the IPS to continue to do well down the stretch.

Kind of a ho-hum week for college football. Not many big match ups. Bama should take care of LSU, tOSU and Penn St are fighting for second place in the Big 10 (at least until tOSU beats Iowa), and OU-Neb fighting to salvage some respectability.

One things for sure. The Horns will crush UCF, may even get the first shut-out of the season.

Prediction for			Week 10			IPS	Vegas
Army	4		Air Force	27		-22.5	-17.0
Baylor	19		Missouri	28		-9.2	-16.5
Boise State	38		Louisiana Tech	15		23.0	20.5
Bowling Green	26		Buffalo	26		-0.2	-4.0
BYU	31		Wyoming	17		14.4	13.0
Colorado St.	30		UNLV	29		1.2	1.5
Connecticut	15		Cincinnati	37		-22.4	-17.0
Duke	18		North Carolina	24		-5.6	-9.5
Eastern Mich.	10		Northern Ill.	40		-29.1	-21.0
Fla. Atlantic	33		UAB	33		-0.7	-4.5
Florida Int’l	22		Middle Tenn.	31		-9.2	-13.0
Florida St.	21		Clemson	36		-15.3	-8.5
Fresno St.	39		Idaho	30		9.4	7.0
Houston	35		Tulsa	29		5.8	2.0
Illinois	17		Minnesota	28		-10.8	-6.0
Kansas	31		Kansas St	26		4.3	2.5
Kent St.	21		Akron	16		5.1	3.0
La.-Lafayette	15		Arkansas St.	30		-15.5	-12.0
La.-Monroe	40		North Texas	35		5.2	1.0
Louisville	18		West Virginia	33		-15.0	-19.5
LSU	8		Alabama	22		-13.9	-9.0
Maryland	26		NC St.	40		-13.6	-7.0
Memphis	6		Tennessee	42		-36.3	-26.0
Miami (Ohio)	10		Temple	33		-23.1	-14.0
Navy	18		Notre Dame	34		-15.7	-11.0
Nevada	40		San Jose St.	21		19.2	12.5
New Mexico	5		Utah	39		-33.3	-27.0
Northwestern	12		Iowa	30		-18.3	-17.5
Ohio St.	13		Penn St.	20		-6.5	-3.5
Oklahoma	17		Nebraska	16		1.0	5.5
Oklahoma St.	27		Iowa St.	22		5.1	7.5
Oregon	33		Stanford	24		8.7	5.0
Oregon St.	26		California	34		-8.0	-6.5
Purdue	25		Michigan	34		-9.4	-4.0
Rice	18		SMU	46		-28.2	-18.0
South Carolina	22		Arkansas	31		-9.3	-5.5
USC	23		Arizona St.	18		4.0	11.0
Syracuse	13		Pittsburgh	39		-25.5	-20.5
TCU	37		San Diego St.	12		25.4	24.0
Texas A&M	36		Colorado	26		10.2	5.0
Troy	48		Western Kentucky	20		27.9	24.5
UCF	2		Texas	45		-42.6	-34.5
Utah St.	32		Hawaii	26		6.0	3.0
UTEP	37		Tulane	22		14.9	7.0
Vanderbilt	1		Florida	36		-35.8	-32.5
Virginia	17		Miami (Fla.)	29		-12.7	-13.5
Virginia Tech	36		East Caro.	14		22.1	11.5
Wake Forest	21		Georgia Tech	36		-14.8	-15.0
Washington	20		UCLA	25		-4.3	-4.5
Washington St.	13		Arizona	43		-30.2	-31.0
Western Mich.	16		Michigan St.	38		-21.8	-18.0
Wisconsin	33		Indiana	22		11.2	11.0

IPS Statistics – Week 10

Team	Off	Def	OppO	OppD	OImp	DImp
Air Force	26.4	13.6	23.2	25.5	0.9	-9.7
Akron	17.3	26.5	24.3	23.0	-5.8	2.2
Alabama	31.8	11.4	28.4	24.3	7.4	-17.0
Arizona	30.0	24.1	24.8	24.4	5.6	-0.6
Arizona St.	26.0	19.0	24.9	29.3	-3.3	-5.9
Arkansas	35.9	27.4	27.3	24.9	11.0	0.1
Arkansas St.	24.0	19.9	23.8	26.0	-2.0	-4.0
Army	16.9	22.6	22.0	26.1	-9.3	0.6
Auburn	31.9	26.1	27.8	21.9	10.0	-1.7
Ball St.	20.6	28.9	23.4	30.0	-9.4	5.5
Baylor	22.4	23.8	25.3	21.3	1.1	-1.5
Boise State	41.0	13.6	23.1	28.5	12.5	-9.4
Boston College	29.2	19.4	27.2	24.0	5.2	-7.8
Bowling Green	23.6	28.4	27.1	21.4	2.3	1.3
BYU	34.6	24.6	26.7	26.7	7.9	-2.0
Buffalo	23.1	25.6	24.5	25.0	-1.9	1.2
California	33.6	22.1	22.9	26.4	7.2	-0.8
Central Mich.	30.6	16.9	22.8	27.7	2.8	-5.9
Cincinnati	39.1	12.9	24.0	26.1	13.0	-11.1
Clemson	30.9	16.5	26.7	24.7	6.2	-10.2
Colorado	21.8	29.5	28.6	24.9	-3.1	0.9
Colorado St.	22.3	30.8	27.7	24.6	-2.3	3.1
Connecticut	27.8	20.6	24.3	23.0	4.7	-3.6
Duke	29.5	24.1	22.5	28.2	1.3	1.6
East Caro.	26.8	22.6	21.5	27.8	-1.0	1.1
Eastern Mich.	16.9	37.4	26.1	23.3	-6.4	11.3
Fla. Atlantic	26.7	34.3	25.0	25.7	1.0	9.3
Florida	36.0	11.0	26.5	25.0	11.0	-15.5
Florida Int’l	24.4	32.3	26.6	27.5	-3.1	5.6
Florida St.	31.8	29.8	28.4	24.3	7.5	1.4
Fresno St.	35.5	22.6	24.6	26.9	8.6	-1.9
Georgia	25.8	29.4	28.5	18.9	6.9	0.9
Georgia Tech	35.2	24.7	24.9	23.6	11.6	-0.2
Hawaii	21.5	32.9	27.6	28.8	-7.3	5.3
Houston	41.6	28.3	26.6	29.1	12.5	1.7
Idaho	31.9	31.1	23.6	28.6	3.3	7.5
Illinois	18.9	25.9	26.0	23.2	-4.4	-0.2
Indiana	23.7	28.2	23.2	24.1	-0.4	5.1
Iowa	25.7	15.8	25.7	23.4	2.2	-9.9
Iowa St.	22.7	21.4	24.6	23.4	-0.8	-3.2
Kansas	33.4	25.1	27.3	25.9	7.5	-2.2
Kansas St	27.1	23.9	24.3	27.4	-0.3	-0.4
Kent St.	21.3	20.6	21.1	27.7	-6.4	-0.6
Kentucky	25.9	24.0	26.2	22.9	2.9	-2.2
La.-Lafayette	22.0	30.9	24.4	29.5	-7.5	6.5
La.-Monroe	27.1	30.6	26.3	26.0	1.2	4.3
Louisiana Tech	27.0	23.8	25.0	30.1	-3.1	-1.2
Louisville	20.3	27.6	27.9	21.7	-1.5	-0.3
LSU	26.4	12.1	24.8	26.4	0.0	-12.7
Marshall	20.9	21.0	22.9	27.9	-7.0	-1.9
Maryland	21.6	31.6	25.8	23.6	-2.0	5.8
Memphis	21.1	30.4	24.9	25.0	-3.9	5.4
Miami (Fla.)	29.9	24.0	27.7	22.9	7.0	-3.7
Miami (Ohio)	13.8	33.2	28.9	22.1	-8.4	4.3
Michigan	31.6	25.1	23.6	25.3	6.3	1.5
Michigan St.	28.0	23.1	25.3	24.1	3.9	-2.2
Middle Tenn.	27.0	25.6	26.1	31.0	-4.0	-0.5
Minnesota	23.4	26.1	27.9	20.2	3.3	-1.8
Mississippi	28.9	16.0	24.6	25.9	2.9	-8.6
Mississippi St.	26.9	24.6	28.2	23.5	3.4	-3.6
Missouri	27.4	22.5	26.7	24.9	2.5	-4.2
Navy	29.4	21.4	25.6	25.6	3.8	-4.2
Nebraska	27.6	11.3	27.0	24.4	3.2	-15.7
Nevada	34.6	30.1	26.6	28.6	6.0	3.6
New Mexico	15.5	35.5	26.3	25.2	-9.7	9.2
NM St.	11.8	29.9	25.7	28.3	-16.5	4.2
North Carolina	22.8	16.5	24.6	26.8	-4.1	-8.1
NC St.	33.1	29.4	24.2	26.2	6.9	5.2
North Texas	30.8	39.0	25.4	28.0	2.8	13.6
Northern Ill.	28.9	18.1	22.8	30.4	-1.5	-4.7
Northwestern	25.7	24.8	21.6	27.9	-2.2	3.2
Notre Dame	31.3	22.9	27.2	26.5	4.7	-4.3
Ohio	24.4	20.6	21.7	28.1	-3.7	-1.2
Ohio St.	31.0	11.7	24.4	26.4	4.6	-12.7
Oklahoma	33.1	12.6	28.5	24.2	9.0	-15.9
Oklahoma St.	34.1	22.6	27.6	28.9	5.3	-5.0
Oregon	35.6	17.1	27.0	23.7	11.9	-9.8
Oregon St.	29.4	24.9	26.6	24.0	5.4	-1.7
Penn St.	30.7	9.3	22.4	25.5	5.1	-13.1
Pittsburgh	34.3	18.0	25.6	24.7	9.5	-7.6
Purdue	24.6	28.0	28.1	22.9	1.7	-0.1
Rice	14.9	45.5	28.2	23.1	-8.3	17.3
Rutgers	28.9	17.5	23.4	26.7	2.2	-5.9
San Diego St.	26.3	26.9	21.7	28.3	-2.0	5.1
San Jose St.	15.1	35.1	29.8	23.4	-8.2	5.3
South Carolina	21.9	19.0	25.7	24.7	-2.8	-6.7
South Fla.	30.8	17.6	25.0	28.9	1.8	-7.4
USC	30.0	19.1	27.0	25.1	4.9	-7.8
SMU	26.5	29.4	26.5	26.6	-0.1	2.9
Southern Miss.	33.9	23.9	23.6	29.0	4.9	0.3
Stanford	31.9	22.4	23.0	27.1	4.8	-0.6
Syracuse	21.6	27.4	26.0	22.2	-0.6	1.4
TCU	35.3	11.1	24.7	26.0	9.2	-13.6
Temple	26.1	20.4	22.2	27.6	-1.5	-1.8
Tennessee	29.1	17.8	26.5	23.2	5.9	-8.8
Texas	41.8	13.6	28.5	24.8	16.9	-14.9
Texas A&M	35.8	30.0	28.4	27.3	8.4	1.6
Texas Tech	40.2	23.4	27.7	27.9	12.3	-4.2
Toledo	28.6	37.4	24.1	25.5	3.1	13.4
Troy	30.3	26.9	27.2	27.5	2.7	-0.3
Tulane	13.4	37.4	26.7	23.9	-10.5	10.7
Tulsa	27.8	20.5	22.7	30.7	-3.0	-2.2
UAB	24.8	33.4	27.1	28.3	-3.6	6.3
UCF	24.6	19.1	22.8	28.9	-4.3	-3.6
UCLA	19.9	23.0	30.4	22.4	-2.5	-7.4
UNLV	24.2	33.8	25.3	26.4	-2.1	8.5
Utah	27.1	16.8	23.7	26.6	0.6	-6.9
Utah St.	27.0	31.1	27.2	27.0	0.0	3.9
UTEP	26.0	33.9	28.2	25.8	0.2	5.7
Vanderbilt	18.2	22.0	23.1	25.8	-7.5	-1.1
Virginia	21.4	21.8	26.7	24.8	-3.4	-4.9
Virginia Tech	30.6	19.3	28.4	19.0	11.6	-9.1
Wake Forest	24.0	23.3	26.7	25.2	-1.2	-3.3
Washington	24.6	29.8	30.4	21.0	3.6	-0.6
Washington St.	15.0	37.4	29.5	23.1	-8.1	7.8
West Virginia	29.8	22.4	24.1	25.3	4.4	-1.7
Western Kentucky	20.5	45.1	25.6	27.8	-7.3	19.5
Western Mich.	25.6	27.2	23.7	27.0	-1.5	3.6
Wisconsin	29.4	21.8	26.1	22.9	6.5	-4.3
Wyoming	18.3	23.4	24.4	26.9	-8.6	-1.0

IPS Predictions – Week 9

I’m traveling this week, so don’t have much time to add my own thoughts, but here’s what the IPS has to say about this week’s game.

Prediction for			Week 9			IPS	Vegas
Air Force	28		Colorado St.	13		15.7	4.0
Akron	13		Northern Ill.	29		-15.6	-10.0
Arkansas St.	22		Louisville	23		-0.7	-4.5
California	27		Arizona St.	24		2.3	7.0
Central Mich.	20		Boston College	28		-8.0	-4.0
Cincinnati	42		Syracuse	15		26.8	14.5
Duke	22		Virginia	25		-3.0	-7.0
East Caro.	28		Memphis	22		6.0	4.0
Eastern Mich.	11		Arkansas	48		-37.3	-36.5
Georgia	12		Florida	40		-27.3	-16.5
Georgia Tech	27		Vanderbilt	16		10.6	13.0
Hawaii	24		Nevada	42		-18.7	0.0
Indiana	10		Iowa	30		-19.7	-17.5
Iowa St.	30		Texas A&M	32		-2.2	-7.0
Kansas	31		Texas Tech	38		-7.0	-7.5
Kansas St	5		Oklahoma	32		-27.5	-25.0
La.-Lafayette	29		Florida Int’l	33		-4.4	-3.5
La.-Monroe	28		Troy	32		-4.3	-17.0
Louisiana Tech	28		Idaho	28		0.0	-3.0
Marshall	13		UCF	20		-7.1	-3.5
Miami (Fla.)	27		Wake Forest	22		4.8	7.0
Michigan	36		Illinois	17		19.3	8.5
Michigan St.	25		Minnesota	21		4.1	5.0
Middle Tenn.	35		Fla. Atlantic	30		4.5	-1.5
Mississippi	29		Auburn	25		4.4	4.0
Mississippi St.	23		Kentucky	28		-4.7	-3.0
Missouri	27		Colorado	21		6.1	4.0
Nebraska	26		Baylor	12		14.4	13.0
New Mexico	18		San Diego St.	38		-20.0	-17.5
NM St.	-9		Ohio St.	40		-48.7	-39.5
North Carolina	12		Virginia Tech	30		-18.6	-17.0
NC St.	32		Florida St.	35		-3.3	-8.0
Ohio	29		Ball St.	17		12.6	7.5
Penn St.	30		Northwestern	12		17.4	14.0
Purdue	26		Wisconsin	33		-6.7	-6.5
Rutgers	20		Connecticut	23		-2.8	-7.7
San Jose St.	4		Boise State	49		-44.1	-34.5
South Carolina	14		Tennessee	24		-10.2	-4.5
USC	19		Oregon	27		-7.8	3.5
SMU	20		Tulsa	35		-15.0	-17.0
Southern Miss.	29		Houston	38		-8.8	-7.0
Temple	18		Navy	28		-10.0	-7.0
Texas	34		Oklahoma St.	24		10.5	9.5
Toledo	36		Miami (Ohio)	27		8.6	6.0
Tulane	-4		LSU	43		-46.7	-34.0
UAB	27		UTEP	34		-7.4	-6.5
UCLA	19		Oregon St.	27		-8.9	-8.5
UNLV	11		TCU	45		-34.2	-33.0
Utah St.	21		Fresno St.	43		-22.1	-16.0
Washington St.	11		Notre Dame	42		-31.3	-29.5
West Virginia	22		South Fla.	28		-6.3	3.0
Western Kentucky	27		North Texas	42		-15.1	-10.5
Western Mich.	23		Kent St.	23		0.1	-1.0
Wyoming	8		Utah	28		-20.3	-16.5

IPS Statistics – Week 9

After a couple weeks of batting the 500, the IPS finally has a good week going 28-23 ATS, raising the season totals to 193-177.

Team	Off	Def	OppO	OppD	OImp	DImp
Air Force	25.5	13.3	23.3	25.4	0.1	-10.0
Akron	18.3	26.4	24.3	23.2	-4.9	2.1
Alabama	31.8	11.4	27.9	23.9	7.9	-16.5
Arizona	30.0	24.1	24.9	24.0	6.0	-0.8
Arizona St.	26.7	18.4	24.0	29.9	-3.2	-5.6
Arkansas	32.0	27.4	29.0	22.9	9.1	-1.6
Arkansas St.	25.8	19.7	24.2	25.9	0.0	-4.6
Army	16.9	22.6	22.2	24.9	-8.1	0.5
Auburn	31.8	26.9	27.0	22.6	9.2	-0.1
Ball St.	21.0	30.0	22.5	30.6	-9.6	7.5
Baylor	24.1	24.3	25.3	21.6	2.5	-1.0
Boise State	40.4	14.6	24.0	27.4	13.0	-9.5
Boston College	29.0	20.6	26.1	24.9	4.1	-5.4
Bowling Green	23.6	28.4	27.0	21.8	1.9	1.4
BYU	34.6	24.6	26.9	26.2	8.4	-2.3
Buffalo	23.1	25.6	25.0	24.6	-1.5	0.7
California	35.1	22.3	22.1	26.6	8.6	0.2
Central Mich.	33.1	15.1	22.0	28.0	5.1	-6.9
Cincinnati	40.7	13.7	24.2	26.2	14.5	-10.5
Clemson	28.3	18.4	28.4	23.1	5.2	-9.9
Colorado	22.4	28.6	29.5	24.5	-2.1	-1.0
Colorado St.	23.1	30.4	28.0	26.4	-3.3	2.4
Connecticut	28.3	19.6	24.2	24.1	4.2	-4.6
Duke	29.7	25.1	23.0	28.4	1.3	2.1
East Caro.	25.1	23.1	21.8	27.6	-2.4	1.3
Eastern Mich.	15.4	33.7	25.6	22.3	-6.9	8.2
Fla. Atlantic	27.8	35.5	24.5	25.3	2.6	11.0
Florida	35.3	10.1	25.4	24.7	10.6	-15.2
Florida Int’l	25.0	34.4	27.0	26.3	-1.3	7.5
Florida St.	29.9	28.0	27.4	23.5	6.4	0.6
Fresno St.	36.1	22.0	24.6	26.5	9.6	-2.6
Georgia	27.0	27.7	26.9	19.1	7.9	0.8
Georgia Tech	32.6	23.9	25.5	23.6	9.0	-1.6
Hawaii	21.6	33.1	26.9	28.2	-6.6	6.3
Houston	40.4	26.1	25.9	29.7	10.7	0.2
Idaho	31.5	30.8	23.8	29.2	2.3	7.0
Illinois	16.1	27.7	25.1	22.5	-6.3	2.6
Indiana	23.6	26.5	23.2	25.1	-1.4	3.3
Iowa	23.6	14.8	26.4	22.4	1.2	-11.7
Iowa St.	24.3	19.8	23.4	22.1	2.2	-3.7
Kansas	35.1	22.7	25.4	25.1	10.1	-2.6
Kansas St	26.8	21.6	23.5	29.5	-2.7	-1.9
Kent St.	20.8	21.4	20.6	27.5	-6.8	0.8
Kentucky	26.1	23.0	25.9	22.7	3.4	-2.9
La.-Lafayette	22.7	32.4	23.0	28.5	-5.8	9.5
La.-Monroe	28.0	29.0	26.4	26.1	1.9	2.6
Louisiana Tech	26.0	22.1	24.3	29.9	-3.9	-2.2
Louisville	20.1	29.7	28.8	21.5	-1.4	0.9
LSU	24.1	13.9	26.3	24.2	0.0	-12.5
Marshall	20.9	21.0	23.0	28.7	-7.8	-2.0
Maryland	21.6	31.6	25.8	23.8	-2.2	5.8
Memphis	21.4	29.3	24.5	24.6	-3.1	4.7
Miami (Fla.)	30.1	23.6	27.3	22.4	7.8	-3.8
Miami (Ohio)	11.6	34.4	29.6	20.5	-8.9	4.8
Michigan	33.9	23.5	23.6	24.3	9.6	-0.1
Michigan St.	27.3	20.8	25.5	24.0	3.3	-4.7
Middle Tenn.	27.0	26.4	24.0	30.2	-3.2	2.4
Minnesota	21.1	25.1	28.4	20.0	1.1	-3.2
Mississippi	30.1	13.6	22.7	25.0	5.2	-9.2
Mississippi St.	26.4	24.6	27.4	22.9	3.5	-2.8
Missouri	26.1	23.3	27.7	24.3	1.8	-4.4
Navy	30.1	20.8	24.5	26.0	4.1	-3.8
Nebraska	28.7	11.4	28.5	24.8	3.9	-17.0
Nevada	35.1	31.4	27.3	27.8	7.3	4.1
New Mexico	14.9	37.3	27.3	24.8	-10.0	10.0
NM St.	13.3	28.0	24.8	30.3	-17.0	3.2
North Carolina	23.1	16.4	23.0	27.3	-4.2	-6.6
NC St.	31.9	27.1	23.2	25.7	6.2	3.9
North Texas	25.4	37.6	26.3	26.4	-0.9	11.3
Northern Ill.	29.1	19.3	23.8	31.5	-2.3	-4.5
Northwestern	27.3	23.6	20.2	29.1	-1.8	3.4
Notre Dame	30.0	24.1	29.9	24.0	6.0	-5.7
Ohio	25.0	21.0	21.0	28.0	-3.0	0.0
Ohio St.	29.3	13.1	25.9	25.7	3.6	-12.8
Oklahoma	31.9	10.1	29.6	23.7	8.1	-19.5
Oklahoma St.	37.0	20.0	25.7	31.1	5.9	-5.7
Oregon	34.0	16.7	27.3	24.4	9.6	-10.6
Oregon St.	29.9	25.7	28.5	23.5	6.3	-2.8
Penn St.	30.3	8.9	21.8	25.3	4.9	-12.9
Pittsburgh	34.3	18.0	25.6	24.3	9.9	-7.6
Purdue	27.6	26.9	27.0	23.5	4.1	-0.1
Rice	14.9	45.5	28.3	22.2	-7.3	17.2
Rutgers	29.0	16.6	23.1	28.0	1.0	-6.5
San Diego St.	26.7	27.9	22.8	26.8	-0.1	5.1
San Jose St.	16.5	33.5	28.4	24.3	-7.8	5.1
South Carolina	23.0	17.5	25.4	24.2	-1.2	-7.9
South Fla.	30.9	17.4	24.0	29.2	1.6	-6.6
USC	31.4	15.1	25.8	26.5	4.9	-10.6
SMU	26.4	31.7	25.7	27.3	-0.9	6.0
Southern Miss.	32.8	20.6	21.6	28.7	4.0	-1.0
Stanford	31.9	22.4	23.3	26.7	5.1	-0.9
Syracuse	23.7	27.3	24.4	23.0	0.8	2.9
TCU	34.4	12.7	24.5	25.3	9.1	-11.8
Temple	26.0	19.9	21.0	28.1	-2.1	-1.2
Tennessee	28.9	18.4	26.7	23.1	5.8	-8.3
Texas	41.9	13.6	27.6	24.5	17.3	-14.0
Texas A&M	35.9	32.9	28.6	27.8	8.1	4.2
Texas Tech	40.0	23.8	26.9	28.3	11.7	-3.1
Toledo	29.1	38.3	25.9	24.9	4.2	12.3
Troy	28.6	27.7	26.4	27.2	1.4	1.3
Tulane	15.3	36.7	26.7	24.6	-9.4	10.0
Tulsa	29.9	19.6	22.0	30.8	-0.9	-2.4
UAB	22.9	33.4	27.1	27.6	-4.7	6.4
UCF	24.6	19.1	22.7	29.4	-4.8	-3.6
UCLA	20.0	22.6	30.5	21.9	-1.9	-7.9
UNLV	27.3	32.9	24.4	28.9	-1.7	8.5
Utah	27.9	17.7	24.8	26.8	1.1	-7.1
Utah St.	27.0	31.1	26.3	27.8	-0.8	4.8
UTEP	25.0	33.3	29.3	23.6	1.4	4.0
Vanderbilt	16.6	17.8	21.7	25.4	-8.8	-4.0
Virginia	22.0	20.9	25.7	24.2	-2.2	-4.8
Virginia Tech	32.6	19.1	29.0	19.6	13.0	-9.8
Wake Forest	23.6	22.8	26.1	25.4	-1.8	-3.3
Washington	24.6	29.8	30.0	20.7	3.9	-0.2
Washington St.	15.1	37.0	29.6	22.8	-7.7	7.4
West Virginia	31.3	21.3	23.4	26.3	5.0	-2.1
Western Kentucky	16.4	41.9	25.2	26.8	-10.4	16.7
Western Mich.	27.0	27.4	24.4	27.6	-0.6	3.0
Wisconsin	28.3	24.9	25.4	21.9	6.4	-0.6
Wyoming	19.4	23.6	24.5	28.4	-9.0	-0.9

IPS Predictions – Week 8

Well, the IPS predicted that the UT-OU game would be much closer than some of the pundits suggested. People focusing on the Sooner’s offensive struggles weren’t giving their defense enough credit. Just glad to get out of there with a victory against the country’s most Impact-ful defense. Otherwise, the IPS had a lackluster week, going 25-27 against the spread.

Pretty busy this week, so I’ll have to keep it short. Here are the IPS predictions for the week.

 

Prediction for			Week 8			IPS	Vegas
Air Force	17		Utah	17		-0.4	-10.0
Akron	18		Syracuse	32		-14.0	-9.5
Arizona St.	24		Stanford	25		-0.7	-6.0
Arkansas	22		Mississippi	32		-10.7	-5.5
Auburn	22		LSU	26		-4.5	-8.5
Ball St.	26		Eastern Mich.	22		3.6	3.5
Boise State	41		Hawaii	13		28.3	24.0
Boston College	27		Notre Dame	30		-2.8	-9.0
Buffalo	23		Western Mich.	26		-2.7	-4.5
Central Mich.	35		Bowling Green	20		15.4	7.0
Clemson	19		Miami (Fla.)	21		-1.7	-6.5
Colorado	23		Kansas St	29		-6.0	-3.5
Connecticut	24		West Virginia	26		-2.6	-7.0
Fla. Atlantic	29		La.-Lafayette	33		-4.2	-3.0
Florida	33		Mississippi St.	12		20.9	22.0
Florida Int’l	23		Arkansas St.	36		-13.3	-10.0
Florida St.	20		North Carolina	24		-4.5	-2.5
Fresno St.	39		NM St.	12		27.3	25.0
Georgia Tech	26		Virginia	27		-0.4	4.0
Idaho	30		Nevada	31		-1.4	-13.0
Illinois	19		Purdue	34		-14.5	-10.5
Indiana	22		Northwestern	28		-5.8	-4.5
Iowa	19		Michigan St.	20		-0.6	2.0
Iowa St.	10		Nebraska	32		-21.6	0.0
Kent St.	15		Ohio	27		-11.4	-10.0
La.-Monroe	22		Kentucky	35		-13.3	-15.5
Louisiana Tech	32		Utah St.	24		7.9	1.5
Louisville	9		Cincinnati	45		-35.6	-17.0
Maryland	25		Duke	41		-16.3	-6.0
Minnesota	11		Ohio St.	27		-16.4	-18.0
North Texas	25		Troy	37		-11.3	0.0
Northern Ill.	35		Miami (Ohio)	6		28.6	11.5
Oklahoma	26		Kansas	22		4.0	7.0
Oklahoma St.	31		Baylor	26		4.3	10.0
Oregon	32		Washington	19		13.0	7.0
Oregon St.	13		USC	26		-13.6
Penn St.	25		Michigan	24		0.7	4.5
Rutgers	30		Army	6		23.9	10.0
San Diego St.	25		Colorado St.	27		-2.2	-8.5
South Fla.	21		Pittsburgh	26		-4.3	-6.5
SMU	28		Houston	48		-19.5	-17.5
TCU	29		BYU	29		0.5	0.0
Temple	34		Toledo	27		7.0	0.0
Tennessee	15		Alabama	31		-15.9	-16.5
Texas	35		Missouri	18		17.0	13.5
Texas A&M	22		Texas Tech	49		-26.8	-21.5
Tulane	14		Southern Miss.	41		-26.9	-20.5
Tulsa	35		UTEP	21		13.6	7.0
UAB	21		Marshall	28		-7.5	-7.5
UCF	37		Rice	15		22.1	10.5
UCLA	21		Arizona	27		-6.4	-9.0
UNLV	37		New Mexico	26		10.5	3.5
Vanderbilt	8		South Carolina	21		-13.0	-12.5
Wake Forest	25		Navy	28		-2.4	-3.0
Washington St.	14		California	43		-29.5	-35.5
Western Kentucky	15		Middle Tenn.	34		-18.2	-17.5

IPS Statistics – Week 8

Team	Off	Def	OppO	OppD	OImp	DImp
Air Force	26.9	11.9	22.7	26.6	0.2	-10.9
Akron	19.0	26.2	24.6	22.4	-3.4	1.6
Alabama	34.6	11.6	28.4	24.8	9.8	-16.8
Arizona	30.5	26.0	26.1	23.9	6.6	-0.1
Arizona St.	28.8	16.0	23.0	29.9	-1.1	-7.0
Arkansas	34.5	27.0	29.6	24.2	10.3	-2.6
Arkansas St.	25.6	21.6	24.8	24.1	1.5	-3.2
Army	17.9	22.0	21.4	26.7	-8.8	0.6
Auburn	34.9	26.3	28.1	24.1	10.8	-1.8
Ball St.	19.9	30.4	24.1	29.7	-9.8	6.3
Baylor	27.0	22.7	24.1	22.4	4.6	-1.4
Boise State	38.2	15.5	24.5	27.0	11.2	-9.0
Boston College	30.9	20.7	25.5	25.0	5.9	-4.8
Bowling Green	25.6	29.0	25.7	23.0	2.5	3.3
BYU	38.6	22.7	25.5	28.3	10.3	-2.8
Buffalo	22.0	24.4	23.8	24.8	-2.8	0.6
California	32.8	23.2	23.3	24.1	8.7	-0.1
Central Mich.	34.4	15.9	21.7	28.2	6.2	-5.8
Cincinnati	40.7	14.3	25.0	25.4	15.2	-10.7
Clemson	26.3	15.3	27.8	24.2	2.2	-12.5
Colorado	25.2	30.0	30.7	24.4	0.8	-0.7
Colorado St.	22.4	28.7	28.1	25.2	-2.8	0.6
Connecticut	29.0	18.2	23.9	23.7	5.3	-5.7
Duke	31.8	27.2	24.0	27.5	4.4	3.2
East Caro.	25.1	23.1	21.7	27.5	-2.4	1.4
Eastern Mich.	13.5	34.5	26.9	20.8	-7.3	7.6
Fla. Atlantic	23.2	36.8	26.4	23.5	-0.3	10.4
Florida	36.3	8.7	25.1	25.3	11.1	-16.4
Florida Int’l	27.5	35.7	27.4	26.9	0.6	8.3
Florida St.	29.8	28.2	29.3	23.6	6.2	-1.2
Fresno St.	36.5	25.2	26.5	26.0	10.5	-1.3
Georgia	27.0	27.7	28.2	19.4	7.6	-0.5
Georgia Tech	32.4	26.0	25.6	22.8	9.6	0.4
Hawaii	23.7	29.7	24.3	30.1	-6.4	5.4
Houston	40.8	28.0	26.5	29.0	11.8	1.5
Idaho	29.6	25.1	22.3	27.6	1.9	2.8
Illinois	16.5	28.3	25.1	21.4	-4.9	3.2
Indiana	23.0	26.1	23.2	24.8	-1.8	2.9
Iowa	24.9	15.0	27.0	23.2	1.6	-12.0
Iowa St.	26.4	21.6	24.1	23.6	2.9	-2.5
Kansas	38.8	20.7	25.1	29.0	9.8	-4.5
Kansas St	27.7	23.9	23.8	28.8	-1.1	0.0
Kent St.	20.9	22.9	20.7	28.8	-8.0	2.1
Kentucky	24.5	24.7	27.0	21.4	3.1	-2.3
La.-Lafayette	21.7	29.3	22.5	27.0	-5.3	6.8
La.-Monroe	30.5	27.8	26.4	27.1	3.4	1.4
Louisiana Tech	26.8	22.0	24.4	28.7	-1.9	-2.4
Louisville	21.8	27.8	26.4	23.3	-1.5	1.5
LSU	23.0	14.5	25.9	22.6	0.4	-11.4
Marshall	20.0	23.0	23.6	27.9	-7.9	-0.6
Maryland	22.9	33.7	24.4	23.4	-0.5	9.3
Memphis	21.4	29.3	22.7	25.6	-4.2	6.6
Miami (Fla.)	29.0	20.8	26.4	23.7	5.3	-5.5
Miami (Ohio)	10.1	35.4	29.2	21.2	-11.1	6.3
Michigan	37.3	21.9	22.8	26.8	10.5	-1.0
Michigan St.	29.3	21.6	26.7	25.3	4.0	-5.1
Middle Tenn.	21.2	26.8	24.7	27.6	-6.5	2.1
Minnesota	23.1	23.3	28.0	21.4	1.7	-4.7
Mississippi	30.2	13.0	22.5	25.0	5.2	-9.5
Mississippi St.	27.4	24.0	25.9	25.4	2.0	-1.9
Missouri	29.3	20.3	25.5	26.4	2.9	-5.1
Navy	32.6	22.3	25.1	25.8	6.8	-2.8
Nebraska	32.3	11.8	29.0	24.5	7.8	-17.1
Nevada	29.3	29.2	27.4	27.4	1.9	1.8
New Mexico	14.5	37.8	27.7	22.3	-7.8	10.1
NM St.	14.7	27.1	22.7	31.2	-16.5	4.5
North Carolina	22.5	14.2	22.3	27.0	-4.5	-8.1
NC St.	31.9	27.1	24.1	26.4	5.4	3.0
North Texas	25.3	35.5	24.6	26.0	-0.7	10.9
Northern Ill.	29.5	18.8	25.6	30.2	-0.7	-6.7
Northwestern	27.0	23.0	19.8	30.1	-3.1	3.2
Notre Dame	31.7	25.5	29.6	23.5	8.2	-4.1
Ohio	27.0	21.1	21.8	28.8	-1.8	-0.7
Ohio St.	28.0	14.0	26.7	25.7	2.3	-12.7
Oklahoma	31.3	9.7	29.8	22.8	8.5	-20.1
Oklahoma St.	37.5	22.2	26.3	32.0	5.5	-4.1
Oregon	32.5	16.3	27.3	23.7	8.8	-11.0
Oregon St.	28.8	23.0	28.3	25.5	3.3	-5.3
Penn St.	29.6	8.7	20.2	25.6	3.9	-11.5
Pittsburgh	33.3	18.6	25.4	25.1	8.2	-6.9
Purdue	28.1	28.7	28.8	22.7	5.4	-0.1
Rice	16.0	45.0	30.1	22.6	-6.6	14.9
Rutgers	29.3	17.7	24.6	29.7	-0.4	-6.9
San Diego St.	24.2	27.8	23.7	24.4	-0.3	4.1
San Jose St.	16.5	33.5	27.7	23.6	-7.1	5.8
South Carolina	24.3	18.6	26.1	25.5	-1.3	-7.5
South Fla.	33.7	13.5	21.9	31.1	2.6	-8.4
USC	28.3	11.7	24.9	26.5	1.8	-13.2
SMU	29.7	30.7	23.9	27.8	1.9	6.8
Southern Miss.	31.3	22.7	23.4	27.1	4.1	-0.7
Stanford	31.7	23.6	23.3	27.3	4.4	0.3
Syracuse	23.0	29.5	26.1	21.2	1.8	3.4
TCU	33.8	13.7	23.5	23.9	10.0	-9.8
Temple	23.7	19.2	19.0	26.3	-2.7	0.1
Tennessee	32.0	19.5	26.9	24.0	8.0	-7.4
Texas	42.0	14.7	28.7	24.3	17.7	-14.1
Texas A&M	33.2	33.3	27.9	29.7	3.5	5.4
Texas Tech	41.4	19.7	26.4	28.4	13.0	-6.7
Toledo	29.9	38.0	26.3	26.4	3.5	11.7
Troy	25.0	28.0	26.9	26.0	-1.0	1.1
Tulane	16.8	35.7	26.6	25.3	-8.5	9.1
Tulsa	30.8	18.2	21.4	30.3	0.6	-3.2
UAB	25.5	34.5	27.6	28.8	-3.3	7.0
UCF	20.5	21.2	23.4	26.4	-5.9	-2.2
UCLA	21.2	21.8	30.2	22.4	-1.2	-8.3
UNLV	26.3	35.1	25.7	26.3	0.0	9.4
Utah	28.7	18.0	24.5	29.1	-0.4	-6.5
Utah St.	27.7	32.8	26.0	28.0	-0.4	6.8
UTEP	24.5	34.8	30.0	24.0	0.5	4.9
Vanderbilt	17.6	18.3	21.9	26.3	-8.7	-3.6
Virginia	24.2	18.7	24.2	24.7	-0.5	-5.5
Virginia Tech	32.6	19.1	30.1	20.2	12.4	-11.0
Wake Forest	25.6	24.1	26.0	25.9	-0.3	-1.9
Washington	25.4	27.9	29.1	20.3	5.1	-1.2
Washington St.	14.8	35.0	29.1	21.3	-6.5	5.9
West Virginia	31.8	20.8	23.3	28.3	3.5	-2.4
Western Kentucky	15.2	38.5	26.5	26.4	-11.2	12.0
Western Mich.	26.0	26.9	25.1	27.7	-1.7	1.8
Wisconsin	28.3	24.9	26.1	22.3	6.0	-1.3
Wyoming	19.4	23.6	24.2	29.2	-9.7	-0.6

IPS Predictions – Week 7

Alright, it’s the big week at least for us Longhorn fans. Keep in mind that I may be personally biased, but it doesn’t affect the IPS predictions. Also, I’ve gotten some questions about my ‘write-up.’ Just to be clear, they are just my own-takes on the games and not an indication of a greater certainty on the part of the IPS.

UT 27, OU 23  – Texas scores 47.2 PPG, ut that the Horns average 18.5 more points than our opponents normally give up. So, we likely to score 18.5 more than what OU is giving up (8.4), that’s 27 points. Conversely, OU’s defense is holding opponents to -20.2 less than the normally average, so we should expect to only score 27 points. Either way you look at it, UT is likely to score 27.  On the other side of the scoreboard, OU is averaging 35 PPG (10.6 more than their opponents average). Since the Horns are giving up 15 PPG, the Sooners will likely score 25.6. But our defense is holding opponents to -14.4 of their average, so we can expect to hold them to 20.6 Take the average, and the Sooners will likely score 23.

Mizzou 26, OSU 30 – Should be a good game. HF is the MOV.

Tech 19, Neb 35 – Blackshirts are getting it done.

USC 23, ND 18 – Domers have been living a charmed life. But, USC’s defense is good enough to get it done.

VT 37, GT 26 – Hokies better on both sides of the ball.

Cal 19, UCLA 22 – Wrong team favored outright. Cal’s got the better offense. UCLA’s got the better defense. UCLA should win at home.

Cincy 26, So Fla 24 – Should be a great ball game. At home, Bulls will give Nati all that they want, but Bearcats pull out a close one.

Prediction for			Week 7			IPS	Vegas
Akron	21		Buffalo	25		-4.5	-10.5
Arkansas	16		Florida	42		-25.4	-24.0
Arkansas St.	36		La.-Monroe	32		4.0	1.0
Army	14		Temple	20		-6.2	-9.5
Baylor	30		Iowa St.	26		4.4	-2.5
Boise State	31		Tulsa	21		9.7	9.5
Bowling Green	31		Ball St.	23		8.3	5.0
BYU	40		San Diego St.	20		19.3	18.0
California	19		UCLA	22		-2.3	3.0
Central Mich.	33		Western Mich.	16		17.0	7.5
Cincinnati	26		South Fla.	24		1.8	2.5
Colorado St.	13		TCU	35		-22.8	-19.5
Fla. Atlantic	28		North Texas	31		-3.5	-1.0
Georgia	20		Vanderbilt	22		-1.4	7.5
Hawaii	20		Idaho	35		-15.2	-11.5
Houston	47		Tulane	21		25.5	20.0
Illinois	22		Indiana	27		-5.2	3.0
Iowa	24		Wisconsin	24		-0.4	1.0
Kansas	39		Colorado	16		23.2	9.5
Kent St.	27		Eastern Mich.	20		6.9	3.5
Kentucky	25		Auburn	41		-15.9	-13.0
La.-Lafayette	34		Western Kentucky	21		12.5	7.5
Louisville	11		Connecticut	30		-19.6	-12.5
Marshall	13		West Virginia	37		-24.8	-19.0
Memphis	20		Southern Miss.	36		-16.1	-10.0
Miami (Fla.)	31		UCF	14		16.4	15.0
Miami (Ohio)	11		Ohio	35		-24.4	-12.5
Minnesota	13		Penn St.	30		-17.2	-16.0
Mississippi St.	34		Middle Tenn.	19		14.9	4.0
Missouri	26		Oklahoma St.	30		-3.8	0.0
Navy	36		SMU	22		13.9	7.5
Nevada	34		Utah St.	29		5.5	9.0
NM St.	10		Louisiana Tech	23		-12.9	-17.0
NC St.	27		Boston College	28		-0.9	-3.0
Northern Ill.	44		Toledo	25		19.5	0.0
Northwestern	20		Michigan St.	32		-11.9
Ohio St.	32		Purdue	15		16.4	13.5
Oklahoma	23		Texas	27		-3.9	-3.0
Pittsburgh	25		Rutgers	24		0.8	3.5
Rice	17		East Caro.	39		-21.1	-20.0
San Jose St.	14		Fresno St.	44		-30.2	-18.5
South Carolina	9		Alabama	33		-24.3	-17.0
USC	23		Notre Dame	18		4.9	11.0
Stanford	26		Arizona	27		-0.6	-6.0
Texas A&M	35		Kansas St	22		13.1	5.0
Texas Tech	19		Nebraska	35		-16.0	-6.0
Troy	29		Florida Int’l	25		3.7	10.0
UAB	7		Mississippi	41		-34.8	-22.0
Utah	35		UNLV	22		13.7	15.0
Virginia	35		Maryland	23		11.5	4.0
Virginia Tech	37		Georgia Tech	26		11.0	3.0
Wake Forest	18		Clemson	22		-3.5	-6.5
Washington	20		Arizona St.	30		-9.7	-3.0
Wyoming	7		Air Force	32		-24.4	-12.0

IPS Statistics – Week 7

Well, the IPS went 21-21 this week against the spread. Makes you wonder why I bother, when you could have done just as well flipping a coin. But, as I’ve said before, it’s damn hard to predict what 18-21 year old kids are gonna do any given weekend. If it is any consolation, the IPS went 30-11 after loading in the ‘new’ data from the weekend’s game. If the IPS had only know then, what it know now.

Team	Off	Def	OppO	OppD	OImp	DImp
Air Force	29.7	13.8	23.3	26.8	2.9	-9.5
Akron	19.4	27.2	25.3	22.9	-3.5	1.9
Alabama	37.0	12.5	28.7	25.6	11.4	-16.2
Arizona	28.0	23.6	25.5	24.0	4.0	-1.9
Arizona St.	29.8	15.8	22.9	31.6	-1.8	-7.1
Arkansas	37.4	27.8	29.9	27.2	10.2	-2.1
Arkansas St.	29.5	23.0	23.9	22.2	7.3	-0.9
Army	18.7	21.2	21.6	27.7	-9.1	-0.5
Auburn	38.3	27.2	29.0	25.5	12.8	-1.8
Ball St.	20.3	30.3	24.2	30.3	-9.9	6.1
Baylor	30.4	22.4	24.5	22.1	8.3	-2.1
Boise State	40.2	14.4	23.0	29.6	10.6	-8.6
Boston College	27.3	20.8	24.8	24.8	2.5	-3.9
Bowling Green	24.7	31.0	27.0	21.9	2.8	4.0
BYU	38.7	21.8	27.0	27.4	11.3	-5.2
Buffalo	22.2	25.7	25.3	24.4	-2.3	0.4
California	30.4	22.6	25.0	24.5	5.9	-2.4
Central Mich.	34.5	14.7	21.0	28.8	5.7	-6.4
Cincinnati	42.0	13.8	23.7	28.0	14.0	-9.9
Clemson	24.0	17.8	28.3	25.1	-1.1	-10.5
Colorado	23.4	30.0	32.0	26.4	-3.0	-2.0
Colorado St.	25.2	26.2	26.3	27.1	-1.9	-0.1
Connecticut	27.2	16.8	25.2	23.4	3.8	-8.4
Duke	31.8	27.2	25.0	25.9	5.9	2.1
East Caro.	21.2	24.8	23.3	24.6	-3.4	1.5
Eastern Mich.	15.0	35.8	27.7	20.7	-5.7	8.1
Fla. Atlantic	18.0	36.0	30.1	20.9	-2.9	6.0
Florida	39.0	6.4	22.7	25.1	13.9	-16.3
Florida Int’l	26.4	34.4	29.5	28.3	-1.9	4.9
Florida St.	29.8	28.2	29.5	23.3	6.5	-1.3
Fresno St.	35.6	26.0	29.8	24.1	11.5	-3.8
Georgia	25.8	30.7	31.3	19.9	6.0	-0.7
Georgia Tech	33.2	26.5	24.1	24.8	8.4	2.4
Hawaii	23.8	28.6	22.7	31.8	-8.0	5.9
Houston	40.2	30.4	29.0	28.9	11.3	1.4
Idaho	28.7	25.5	23.1	25.9	2.8	2.4
Illinois	17.0	28.6	26.9	20.1	-3.1	1.7
Indiana	22.3	28.2	24.2	24.6	-2.3	4.0
Iowa	25.7	15.8	26.7	23.8	1.9	-10.8
Iowa St.	26.8	23.5	23.0	24.0	2.8	0.5
Kansas	40.6	18.0	25.0	29.4	11.2	-7.0
Kansas St	22.0	25.5	22.2	28.1	-6.1	3.3
Kent St.	19.7	25.7	21.9	28.7	-9.0	3.8
Kentucky	25.2	26.8	27.0	19.9	5.3	-0.2
La.-Lafayette	20.0	30.8	23.1	23.9	-3.9	7.7
La.-Monroe	33.4	31.4	26.6	27.8	5.6	4.8
Louisiana Tech	23.2	25.0	26.7	28.5	-5.3	-1.7
Louisville	21.2	25.8	25.9	25.2	-4.0	-0.1
LSU	23.0	14.5	26.3	23.2	-0.2	-11.8
Marshall	22.2	22.8	21.8	28.9	-6.8	1.0
Maryland	25.2	36.0	25.2	23.9	1.3	10.8
Memphis	22.3	28.2	22.0	25.9	-3.6	6.1
Miami (Fla.)	29.4	23.6	28.7	23.7	5.7	-5.1
Miami (Ohio)	10.7	36.7	30.5	21.5	-10.9	6.2
Michigan	33.0	24.5	25.4	25.4	7.7	-0.9
Michigan St.	30.2	22.8	26.7	25.9	4.3	-3.8
Middle Tenn.	24.2	26.8	23.1	28.6	-4.4	3.7
Minnesota	27.0	23.8	28.7	24.2	2.8	-4.8
Mississippi	26.6	13.0	23.4	22.5	4.1	-10.4
Mississippi St.	27.5	27.0	27.5	25.4	2.1	-0.5
Missouri	31.8	17.8	23.6	26.8	5.0	-5.8
Navy	31.7	20.2	24.6	25.7	6.0	-4.4
Nebraska	36.8	8.0	26.7	25.1	11.7	-18.7
Nevada	28.2	28.6	28.2	25.6	2.6	0.4
New Mexico	14.5	37.8	30.2	21.5	-7.0	7.6
NM St.	16.0	24.2	21.6	32.4	-16.4	2.6
North Carolina	22.5	14.2	21.6	27.4	-4.9	-7.4
NC St.	33.8	23.0	24.4	27.0	6.8	-1.4
North Texas	22.4	33.8	25.7	24.8	-2.4	8.1
Northern Ill.	31.6	18.6	25.3	29.0	2.6	-6.7
Northwestern	29.2	22.8	19.3	32.4	-3.2	3.6
Notre Dame	32.6	23.8	29.3	27.0	5.6	-5.5
Ohio	26.8	23.5	22.9	27.7	-0.9	0.6
Ohio St.	29.7	12.0	27.1	25.4	4.3	-15.1
Oklahoma	35.0	8.4	28.6	24.4	10.6	-20.2
Oklahoma St.	38.4	23.2	26.2	34.2	4.2	-3.0
Oregon	32.5	16.3	26.9	23.1	9.5	-10.6
Oregon St.	28.8	23.0	28.4	24.4	4.4	-5.4
Penn St.	31.2	10.2	19.9	26.6	4.6	-9.8
Pittsburgh	34.8	18.8	24.6	24.9	9.9	-5.8
Purdue	28.5	30.5	30.7	24.4	4.1	-0.2
Rice	16.5	44.3	32.1	21.4	-4.9	12.2
Rutgers	31.8	16.4	23.3	32.0	-0.2	-6.9
San Diego St.	23.4	25.8	21.2	23.7	-0.3	4.6
San Jose St.	15.6	32.0	25.4	22.2	-6.6	6.6
South Carolina	27.3	18.3	23.5	27.9	-0.6	-5.2
South Fla.	37.0	9.4	17.9	34.7	2.3	-8.5
USC	28.8	8.6	23.5	26.0	2.8	-14.9
SMU	27.0	29.2	21.5	28.9	-1.9	7.7
Southern Miss.	30.5	23.8	24.9	25.7	4.8	-1.1
Stanford	30.7	20.3	22.6	26.3	4.4	-2.3
Syracuse	23.0	29.5	28.2	21.3	1.7	1.3
TCU	31.8	15.2	23.4	23.9	7.9	-8.2
Temple	23.0	20.4	20.0	28.0	-5.0	0.4
Tennessee	32.0	19.5	27.3	24.2	7.8	-7.8
Texas	47.2	15.0	29.4	28.7	18.5	-14.4
Texas A&M	37.0	27.6	29.0	30.6	6.4	-1.4
Texas Tech	43.2	21.3	25.3	31.8	11.3	-4.0
Toledo	31.5	41.2	25.8	27.2	4.3	15.4
Troy	21.6	27.0	29.1	23.8	-2.2	-2.1
Tulane	17.0	34.0	24.8	24.0	-7.0	9.2
Tulsa	32.8	16.2	18.9	32.5	0.3	-2.7
UAB	28.0	31.8	26.5	30.4	-2.4	5.3
UCF	23.2	20.0	21.5	28.1	-4.9	-1.5
UCLA	20.2	17.2	28.1	21.5	-1.3	-10.9
UNLV	28.2	35.2	25.6	27.6	0.5	9.6
Utah	27.4	18.6	24.3	26.5	0.9	-5.7
Utah St.	26.8	32.4	26.1	26.0	0.8	6.3
UTEP	24.5	34.8	31.4	23.6	0.9	3.4
Vanderbilt	18.8	15.7	20.6	26.3	-7.5	-5.0
Virginia	25.0	20.6	23.7	23.9	1.1	-3.1
Virginia Tech	34.2	17.7	30.8	19.2	15.0	-13.1
Wake Forest	29.3	21.8	26.5	26.7	2.6	-4.7
Washington	26.8	28.5	28.6	19.4	7.4	-0.1
Washington St.	14.8	35.0	28.8	19.8	-5.0	6.2
West Virginia	33.4	23.6	23.5	29.9	3.5	0.1
Western Kentucky	13.8	40.2	27.7	24.3	-10.5	12.5
Western Mich.	26.5	25.7	23.4	31.2	-4.7	2.2
Wisconsin	31.3	25.7	27.6	23.5	7.8	-1.9
Wyoming	22.7	25.8	23.8	32.0	-9.3	2.0

IPS Predictions – Week 6

Well, the IPS struggled to a 21-23 record ATS in Week 5, leaving it 119-106 for the season. Keep in mind that it had only 4 data points per team (actually 3 for some) and many of those games were against non-BCS and FCS opponents that can wreak havoc with statistical averages. As the season improves, hopefully the predictions will as well. Of course, Vegas lines improve as well. This week more than half dozen lines are too close too call (less than .5 difference between IPS and Vegas)

Horns 51, Buffs 9 – The IPS agrees with the commonly held opinion that the Horns will pummel the Buffs. The Horns offense is scoring 20 more points than their opponents average and CU is already giving up 28 a game. Meanwhile, the UT is holding opponents to 14 less than their average and CU is averaging only 25.

Florida 32, LSU 13 – Those looking for a Gator upset aren’t likely to see it. Without Tebow, Florida may not score 32, but their defense which is holding opponent to 14 less than there average is good enough to keep LSU that is only scoring 27 in the teens. As long as Brantley doesn’t implode with turnovers, Florida wins.

Bama 24, Miss 23 – Don’t be surprised if Mississippi gives Bama a run for their money. Bama is a better team, but Ole Miss ain’t bad. Their IPS factors at +7.5 and -8.9 respectively. At home, Snead and company will keep it close.

Auburn 42, Ark 34 – Chizik’s bunch will provide more competition for the Pigs than the Aggies did.

Baylor 18, Sooners 35 – Battle of the back-up QBs. Predictions of OU’s demise are a bit exaggerated. Think about it – they’ve lost two away games by 1 point each to top 25 teams. IPS still has Baylor covering, but I wouldn’t bet against the Sooners.

Georgia 20, Tennessee 31 – Tennessee not getting enough credit. They aren’t even favored at home?

Neb 29, Mizzou 18 – The Huskers are another team that ain’t getting enough love. That loss at VT (a game that they had all but won) is looking pretty good. Meanwhile Mizzou is undefeated, but played no one.

OSU 32, Aggies 32 – Despite the reality check at Jerry’s World, Aggies are good enough to hang with OSU at home. Couldn’t find a line on this game – probably due to the uncertainty of key OSU players.

TCu 22, AF 23 – Another BCS busters bubble bursts – say that 10 times real fast. Frogs may be a little overrated and AF a little underappreciated. AF may not win, but expect they’ll cover the 10.5.

Houston 35, Mississippi St 41 – Cougar hangover might cost them a second game on the road.

Prediction for			Week 6			IPS	Vegas
Alabama	24		Mississippi	23		0.6	5.5
Arizona	27		Washington	26		0.5	2.5
Arizona St.	37		Washington St.	9		27.7	19.5
Auburn	42		Arkansas	34		7.5	2.5
Ball St.	16		Temple	29		-13.5	-13.5
Baylor	18		Oklahoma	35		-17.1	-23.5
Boston College	18		Virginia Tech	29		-10.5	-13.5
Bowling Green	23		Kent St.	19		3.2	6.0
BYU	40		UNLV	24		15.8	15.0
Colorado	9		Texas	51		-42.3	-31.5
Connecticut	22		Pittsburgh	29		-7.1	-8.5
Duke	20		NC St.	40		-19.8	-14.5
East Caro.	28		SMU	26		2.8	7.0
Eastern Mich.	8		Central Mich.	35		-27.2	-22.0
Florida	32		LSU	13		18.3	9.5
Florida Int’l	38		Western Kentucky	23		15.5	3.0
Fresno St.	37		Hawaii	23		13.9	9.0
Georgia	20		Tennessee	31		-10.9	1.0
Georgia Tech	26		Florida St.	30		-4.3	-2.5
Houston	35		Mississippi St.	41		-6.3	3.0
Idaho	35		San Jose St.	17		18.1	-4.0
Indiana	23		Virginia	22		1.7	-6.5
Iowa St.	12		Kansas	38		-25.7	-19.0
Kansas St	17		Texas Tech	33		-16.3	-17.0
Kentucky	16		South Carolina	28		-11.7	-12.0
Louisiana Tech	27		Nevada	24		3.5	-7.0
Marshall	28		Tulane	22		6.7	3.0
Maryland	15		Wake Forest	40		-25.7	-10.5
Miami (Ohio)	10		Northwestern	50		-39.5	-20.5
Michigan	20		Iowa	27		-6.8	-7.5
Michigan St.	34		Illinois	20		14.1	4.0
Middle Tenn.	29		Troy	24		4.9	-4.5
Navy	39		Rice	15		24.6	13.0
Nebraska	29		Missouri	18		10.9	1.0
New Mexico	18		Wyoming	28		-9.8	-10.0
North Texas	24		La.-Lafayette	25		-1.4
Ohio	32		Akron	27		4.4	4.5
Oklahoma St.	32		Texas A&M	32		0.0	0.0
Oregon	22		UCLA	18		4.0	6.0
Purdue	25		Minnesota	29		-4.3	-4.0
Southern Miss.	27		Louisville	25		2.2	0.0
Stanford	24		Oregon St.	24		0.3	2.5
TCU	22		Air Force	23		-1.5	10.5
Utah	27		Colorado St.	21		6.1	6.5
Utah St.	31		NM St.	21		10.0	12.5
UTEP	31		Memphis	26		4.9	3.0
Vanderbilt	23		Army	4		19.1	11.5
West Virginia	33		Syracuse	29		4.5	9.5
Western Mich.	30		Toledo	34		-4.4	-7.5
Wisconsin	18		Ohio St.	31		-13.0	-14.5