No IPS for 2010

September 15, 2010

My apologies, but life has just gotten too busy for me to indulge in some IPS fun. I hope to get back to it someday, but for now you are own your own.

Advertisements

IPS Predictions – Week 11

November 10, 2009

Well, a fairly disastrous week for the IPS, going 19-28 against the spread. Still positive for the year at 241-226, but hardly anything to brag about. What can I say, college football is unpredictable.

For your further amusement, I’m now posting the weekly statistics by IPS Ranking. That way you can quickly tell who is the best team according to the IPS. In addition to the key statistics (Offensive Scoring, Defensive Scoring, Opponents Offense Scoring, Opponent Defensive Scoring), there is the calculated Impact factors:

Offensive Impact – the amount that the team is outscoring what their opponents normally give up.

Defensive Impact – the amount the team is holding opponents less than what they normally score.

H2H Impact – Essentially the Total Impact of the team which is function of all the aforementioned factors. The difference between 2 teams H2H is the difference in the predicted score (on a neutral field).So, you can see that the Horns are #1 in the IPS. And, if they played Florida, the IPS predicts that they would win by 4.3 points.

But, let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Here are the predictions for this week. Note that as opposed to last week where there were no outright upset predictions, the IPS is calling for several this week (Cal, Auburn, Northwestern, Ohio, Rutgers, Tulane).

Prediction for      Week 11     IPS Vegas
Alabama 28   Mississippi St. 14   13.9 13.0
Arizona 29   California 30   -1.8 2.0
Arizona St. 15   Oregon 33   -17.7 -17.0
Arkansas St. 34   Fla. Atlantic 23   11.6 3.0
Auburn 34   Georgia 32   2.3 -4.0
Ball St. 9   Northern Ill. 34   -24.6 -17.5
Boston College 28   Virginia 16   12.0 4.5
Bowling Green 31   Miami (Ohio) 20   11.6 3.0
BYU 46   New Mexico 12   33.3 27.0
Clemson 36   NC St. 24   11.5 7.0
Colorado 19   Iowa St. 27   -7.7 -5.5
East Caro. 20   Tulsa 26   -5.6 -6.0
Florida 28   South Carolina 8   19.7 15.0
Florida St. 28   Wake Forest 29   -1.6 -4.5
Fresno St. 34   Nevada 34   -0.3 -6.5
Georgia Tech 34   Duke 27   6.4 10.5
Houston 35   UCF 26   8.8 5.5
Idaho 18   Boise State 48   -29.8 -28.0
Indiana 9   Penn St. 35   -26.7 -22.5
Iowa 8   Ohio St. 23   -14.8 -14.0
Kentucky 24   Vanderbilt 16   8.3 3.0
La.-Lafayette 18   Middle Tenn. 33   -14.4 -12.0
Louisiana Tech 7   LSU 33   -26.2 -24.0
Miami (Fla.) 22   North Carolina 21   0.8 3.5
Michigan 26   Wisconsin 35   -9.3 -9.5
Michigan St. 31   Purdue 25   5.3 0.0
Missouri 24   Kansas St 25   -1.5 -2.0
Nebraska 23   Kansas 16   7.1 4.0
NM St. 15   Hawaii 28   -12.6 -18.5
North Texas 34   Florida Int’l 37   -2.5 -2.5
Northwestern 24   Illinois 22   1.9 -4.0
Notre Dame 19   Pittsburgh 33   -14.0 -7.0
Ohio 24   Buffalo 21   2.9 -3.0
San Jose St. 21   Utah St. 37   -16.6 -10.5
South Fla. 20   Rutgers 22   -2.4 1.5
Southern Miss. 27   Marshall 20   6.7 3.0
Stanford 23   USC 31   -7.3 -11.5
Syracuse 21   Louisville 24   -3.5 -7.0
Temple 26   Akron 19   7.3 4.0
Tennessee 22   Mississippi 24   -1.7 -3.0
Texas 39   Baylor 13   25.8 24.5
Texas A&M 18   Oklahoma 37   -19.4 -18.5
Texas Tech 31   Oklahoma St. 32   -1.2 -3.5
Toledo 19   Central Mich. 44   -25.0 -16.0
Troy 22   Arkansas 43   -20.7 -14.5
Tulane 34   Rice 29   4.8 -2.0
UAB 34   Memphis 29   4.3 1.5
UCLA 32   Washington St. 11   20.8 18.0
UNLV 12   Air Force 35   -23.5 -17.0
Utah 11   TCU 32   -21.0 -17.5
UTEP 28   SMU 35   -7.2 -6.5
Virginia Tech 38   Maryland 15   22.5 17.0
Washington 22   Oregon St. 34   -12.6 -11.0
West Virginia 17   Cincinnati 39   -21.6 -9.5
Western Kentucky 20   La.-Monroe 46   -26.1 -21.0
Western Mich. 36   Eastern Mich. 22   14.3 10.0
Wyoming 20   San Diego St. 26   -5.8 -5.0