Impact Predictions – Bowl Season

December 17, 2009

OK, Here we go. The final stretch for college football – bowl season. Although it’s been a difficult season for the IPS to predict (only 51% against the Vegas spread), we can always hope that it will do as well as last year when the IPS went 20-8 in bowl predictions against the spread.

In particular, let’s hope it is correct in predicting in the National Championship game – as it did the first time I used it to predict the UT-USC game. In that case, it correctly predicted that the wrong team was favored outright, predicting UT would win 44-37. And, again, the IPS is suggesting that you shouldn’t buy into the media hype. Texas should rightly be favored ….

Prediction for      Bowls     IPS Vegas
Fresno St. 34   Wyoming 18   15.9 11.0
UCF 13   Rutgers 26   -13.7 -2.5
So. Miss. 29   Middle Tenn 28   0.9 3.5
Oregon State 33   BYU 27   6.4 2.5
Utah 23   California 28   -5.1 -3.5
Nevada 42   SMU 27   15.7 15.0
Marshall 17   Ohio 24   -7.4 -3.0
Pittsburgh 25   North Carolina 18   6.9 3.0
Boston College 18   USC 23   -4.2 -9.5
Kentucky 22   Clemson 30   -7.8 -7.0
Texas A&M 34   Georgia 35   -0.8 -7.0
UCLA 25   Temple 19   5.7 4.5
Wisconsin 29   Miami 29   -0.3 -4.0
Bowling Green 36   Idaho 31   5.4 1.5
Arizona 15   Nebraska 23   -8.1 2.0
Houston 33   Air Force 31   1.9 4.5
Oklahoma 32   Stanford 22   10.0 8.0
Navy 21   Missouri 31   -10.2 -6.5
Minnesota 21   Iowa State 20   0.5 2.5
Virginia Tech 28   Tennessee 21   6.7 4.5
Northwestern 25   Auburn 33   -7.9 -7.5
Penn St. 19   LSU 13   6.0 3.0
West Virginia 29   Florida St 28   1.1 3.0
Ohio State 26   Oregon 25   1.4 -3.5
Florida 30   Cincinnati 25   5.0 11.0
So. Florida 27   No. Illinois 19   7.7 6.5
South Carolina 22   UConn 27   -4.4 4.5
OK State 23   Ole Miss 25   -1.8 -3.0
Arkansas 39   ECU 21   17.6 7.5
Michigan St 26   Texas Tech 35   -9.8 -8.0
Boise St. 29   TCU 32   -2.4 -7.0
Iowa 23   Georgia Tech 26   -2.3 -4.0
Central Mich 34   Troy 24   10.4 4.0
Texas 26   Alabama 21   4.7 -5.0
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Impact Rankings/Predictions – Week 15

December 8, 2009

Well, the IPS went 7-7 on Championship week – about the same margin that the Horns managed to beat the Huskers. And, nothing to change the overal standing of the IPS which is 317-304 (51%) against the spread for the year.

With only one game that week, not much will change. For what it is worth: Army 9, Navy 20. So Navy wins but won’t cover.

Except for that final gam, here are the Impact Rankings leading into the bowl games. Texas’ IPS numbers took a hit, but narrowly remains #1. But, maybe the Horn Frogs do have an argument as they move up to #2 after the Gators lost to Bama.

I’ll work up a full bowl season report, but for those of you that just can’t wait, the different between the H2H numbers determines the IPS predicted spread for each matchup. Don’t forget to compensate for homefield advantages in certain cases. (Right now, I’m considering USC, Florida St. and the Aggies as having a HF Adv.)

    Off Def OppO OppD OImp DImp H2H
1 Texas 40.7 15.2 27.5 24.5 16.2 -12.4 27.0
2 TCU 40.7 12.4 23.8 27.2 13.4 -11.4 26.5
3 Boise State 44.2 17.7 25.7 30.4 13.8 -8.0 24.1
4 Florida 34.7 11.5 26.2 25.1 9.6 -14.7 23.7
5 Alabama 31.7 11.0 27.6 24.2 7.5 -16.6 22.4
6 Oklahoma 31.1 13.5 28.9 24.2 6.8 -15.4 19.9
7 Cincinnati 39.8 20.8 25.3 26.0 13.8 -4.5 18.7
8 Virginia Tech 31.4 15.8 26.6 22.5 8.9 -10.8 17.7
9 Ohio St. 29.3 12.2 25.7 25.1 4.1 -13.5 17.4
10 Penn St. 29.7 11.8 24.0 25.3 4.3 -12.2 17.2
11 Oregon 37.7 23.6 28.1 24.3 13.4 -4.5 16.0
12 Nebraska 24.5 11.2 27.6 23.7 0.8 -16.4 15.3
13 Texas Tech 36.7 21.8 27.0 26.6 10.1 -5.2 15.1
14 Central Mich. 33.2 17.2 24.1 27.6 5.6 -6.9 14.2
15 Pittsburgh 33.2 20.0 26.3 24.9 8.2 -6.3 13.9
16 Houston 43.9 28.8 25.7 28.9 15.0 3.1 13.5
17 Arkansas 37.3 25.8 27.1 24.6 12.7 -1.3 12.8
18 BYU 34.8 21.7 25.6 26.5 8.2 -3.9 12.6
19 Nevada 40.6 27.2 27.0 29.1 11.5 0.2 12.3
20 Clemson 31.9 21.0 27.7 25.5 6.5 -6.7 12.0
21 Air Force 28.3 15.3 23.8 26.3 1.9 -8.5 11.7
22 LSU 25.5 16.0 27.5 24.1 1.4 -11.5 11.2
23 Tennessee 30.6 21.0 26.0 23.2 7.4 -5.0 11.0
24 Georgia Tech 35.3 24.9 25.6 24.9 10.5 -0.8 10.8
25 Mississippi 30.3 18.6 24.5 26.2 4.1 -5.9 10.8
26 Miami (Fla.) 31.7 22.3 26.6 23.6 8.1 -4.3 10.8
27 Wisconsin 32.8 22.4 25.7 25.3 7.5 -3.3 10.6
28 Stanford 36.2 26.2 25.6 25.8 10.4 0.5 9.9
29 Oklahoma St. 30.2 21.8 28.2 26.9 3.3 -6.4 9.1
30 Oregon St. 32.4 23.4 26.4 26.4 6.1 -3.0 9.0
31 Utah 29.3 19.7 25.4 27.0 2.3 -5.8 8.8
32 Iowa 23.1 15.5 25.5 23.6 -0.5 -10.0 8.5
33 Rutgers 27.5 17.4 23.4 27.2 0.3 -6.0 8.2
34 Connecticut 32.1 25.0 25.4 23.6 8.4 -0.4 8.0
35 Auburn 32.9 26.9 26.8 23.4 9.5 0.1 7.7
36 Arizona 29.7 23.2 26.0 24.7 5.0 -2.8 7.1
37 USC 26.7 20.4 26.7 25.1 1.6 -6.2 7.0
38 North Carolina 24.3 16.9 26.0 26.8 -2.5 -9.1 7.0
39 Boston College 25.8 19.4 25.8 24.7 1.0 -6.4 6.9
40 Northern Ill. 30.8 21.2 23.9 29.8 0.9 -2.8 6.6
41 West Virginia 26.6 20.8 26.2 24.9 1.7 -5.5 6.5
42 Missouri 30.3 24.6 26.3 25.0 5.3 -1.7 6.4
43 Southern Miss. 33.0 24.5 24.4 28.9 4.1 0.1 6.3
44 Navy 28.3 21.3 25.6 27.2 1.1 -4.3 6.2
45 Notre Dame 30.1 25.9 29.0 25.5 4.6 -3.1 5.9
46 Fresno St. 34.3 27.8 27.6 28.9 5.4 0.2 5.8
47 Temple 30.3 21.7 21.2 27.3 2.9 0.4 5.5
48 Middle Tenn. 31.2 23.0 25.1 30.6 0.5 -2.1 5.4
49 Michigan St. 29.6 25.1 26.1 24.4 5.2 -1.0 5.3
50 East Caro. 27.8 22.1 26.5 27.4 0.3 -4.4 5.2
51 UCF 26.3 20.7 26.5 28.9 -2.5 -5.9 4.5
52 Kentucky 27.2 22.8 24.3 24.4 2.8 -1.5 4.3
53 South Fla. 26.4 21.2 25.3 27.2 -0.8 -4.1 4.3
54 California 29.3 24.5 24.9 26.5 2.8 -0.4 3.9
55 Troy 33.1 28.6 27.2 28.7 4.4 1.4 3.8
56 South Carolina 21.8 20.4 28.1 23.7 -1.9 -7.7 3.5
57 Georgia 27.7 26.4 27.1 22.8 4.9 -0.7 3.4
58 Ohio 25.4 21.3 24.6 26.4 -1.0 -3.3 3.2
59 Louisiana Tech 29.2 25.8 27.2 28.3 0.8 -1.4 2.8
60 Kansas 29.4 28.4 27.4 23.8 5.7 1.0 2.8
61 Texas A&M 33.9 32.7 28.0 25.2 8.7 4.7 2.7
62 Mississippi St. 25.6 26.8 29.8 22.5 3.0 -3.1 2.5
63 Michigan 29.5 27.5 25.2 25.4 4.1 2.3 1.9
64 Florida St. 29.8 30.8 27.9 23.3 6.6 2.8 1.4
65 Bowling Green 27.3 26.2 26.2 25.8 1.6 -0.1 1.4
66 UCLA 21.3 21.3 27.4 25.2 -3.9 -6.2 1.2
67 Arizona St. 22.3 21.1 26.3 26.6 -4.3 -5.3 1.1
68 Washington 26.1 26.7 27.9 25.0 1.1 -1.2 0.9
69 Tulsa 29.3 27.3 26.8 29.5 -0.2 0.6 0.6
70 Purdue 27.8 29.1 28.6 25.3 2.6 0.4 0.4
71 Wake Forest 26.3 26.3 27.3 26.8 -0.5 -1.1 0.3
72 Wyoming 16.9 27.3 26.7 26.1 -9.2 0.5 0.0
73 Northwestern 25.2 23.3 23.1 27.2 -2.0 0.3 -0.2
74 Buffalo 24.1 23.8 24.6 25.9 -1.9 -0.9 -0.3
75 Kansas St 23.0 23.3 24.6 25.9 -2.9 -1.3 -1.0
76 NC St. 30.3 31.2 24.5 25.5 4.8 6.7 -1.3
77 Minnesota 21.6 24.6 26.0 22.9 -1.4 -1.4 -1.5
78 Iowa St. 21.1 22.6 23.7 24.7 -3.6 -1.1 -2.0
79 Arkansas St. 22.7 23.3 23.9 28.7 -6.0 -0.6 -3.0
80 SMU 27.9 29.1 25.6 29.9 -2.0 3.5 -3.3
81 La.-Monroe 25.6 27.3 25.7 28.9 -3.3 1.7 -3.3
82 Baylor 20.8 27.3 28.1 22.9 -2.1 -0.9 -3.9
83 Idaho 31.8 35.5 27.3 28.0 3.8 8.2 -4.0
84 Marshall 21.8 24.9 25.6 27.9 -6.0 -0.7 -4.2
85 Illinois 24.2 30.2 27.7 24.5 -0.3 2.5 -4.4
86 Duke 25.2 28.3 24.1 26.8 -1.6 4.3 -4.5
87 Virginia 19.3 26.3 28.0 23.7 -4.4 -1.6 -4.9
88 Utah St. 29.1 34.0 28.1 28.5 0.6 5.9 -5.1
89 UAB 27.8 32.3 27.6 28.9 -1.1 4.7 -5.2
90 Colorado 22.3 28.8 27.3 24.6 -2.4 1.5 -5.2
91 Western Mich. 24.7 27.5 23.5 28.6 -3.9 4.0 -5.4
92 Syracuse 21.2 27.9 25.9 23.1 -2.0 2.0 -5.4
93 UTEP 29.8 33.5 26.0 29.7 0.2 7.5 -5.5
94 Indiana 23.5 29.5 24.7 24.4 -0.9 4.8 -5.8
95 Kent St. 19.3 22.4 21.8 27.4 -8.1 0.6 -5.9
96 Louisville 18.1 26.3 27.5 23.4 -5.4 -1.3 -6.1
97 Vanderbilt 16.3 23.3 25.4 24.3 -8.0 -2.1 -6.5
98 UNLV 24.8 32.4 26.5 25.9 -1.0 5.9 -7.3
99 Fla. Atlantic 27.4 33.8 24.6 27.9 -0.4 9.1 -7.9
100 Colorado St. 21.7 29.8 26.7 27.0 -5.4 3.1 -8.3
101 Hawaii 22.8 29.5 26.4 29.7 -7.0 3.0 -8.3
102 San Diego St. 23.3 30.5 24.1 26.7 -3.4 6.4 -8.5
103 Toledo 29.7 37.7 25.0 26.6 3.0 12.7 -8.8
104 Army 16.5 22.4 21.7 27.7 -11.3 0.7 -9.0
105 Maryland 21.3 31.3 26.6 25.2 -3.8 4.6 -9.2
106 Akron 19.3 28.8 24.4 24.9 -5.7 4.4 -9.8
107 La.-Lafayette 22.2 30.3 24.5 27.9 -5.7 5.8 -9.8
108 Wyoming 16.9 27.3 26.7 26.1 -9.2 0.5 -10.0
109 North Texas 26.6 35.6 24.8 27.0 -0.4 10.7 -10.1
110 Ball St. 19.2 28.2 25.4 27.8 -8.6 2.7 -10.2
111 Memphis 21.8 34.8 28.6 26.2 -4.4 6.2 -11.8
112 Florida Int’l 22.9 35.3 27.7 26.6 -3.7 7.6 -11.8
113 Miami (Ohio) 15.6 34.2 29.0 23.9 -8.3 5.2 -16.0
114 New Mexico 16.3 35.9 27.6 25.2 -8.9 8.3 -18.4
115 San Jose St. 13.8 34.5 28.9 27.8 -14.0 5.6 -20.2
116 Tulane 16.1 36.7 26.5 27.5 -11.4 10.1 -21.1
117 NM St. 11.5 31.6 27.4 29.4 -17.9 4.2 -21.2
118 Eastern Mich. 16.4 38.3 26.2 25.3 -8.9 12.0 -21.4
119 Rice 18.3 43.1 28.4 26.5 -8.3 14.7 -23.9
120 Washington St. 12.0 38.5 28.5 24.6 -12.6 10.0 -24.5

IPS Predictions – Week 14

November 30, 2009

Well, a second losing week in a row (18-24) drops the IPS to a mere 51.1% ATS for the year. But, you got to admit, it has been a strange year. For instance A&M beats Tech, Tech pummels OU, OU pummels Tech, ….

It’s hard to predict outcomes based on prior performances, if you never know whose gonna show up from week to week. Oh, assuming the teams do play up to (or down to) their prior efforts, here’s what ‘should’ happen this week:

Texas  28    Nebraska    15

Texas averages  43.0 PPG that’s 17.4 more than what their opponents give up. Nebraska allows 11.1 PPG that’s    -15.4 what their opponents normally score.    So,  Texas  is likely to score 28 points either way.  Nebraska averages 25.6 PPG that’s  1.0    more than what their opponents give up. Texas  allows 15.4 PPG that’s  -12.4 what their opponents normally score. So,    Nebraska is likely to score 13 to 16 points.  Unless you want to grant, Texas a homefield advantage, this game this one is too close to call against a Vegas line of 13.5.

Florida    21    Alabama 16   

Florida averages 36.5 PPG that’s  10.2 more than what their opponents give up. Alabama  allows 10.8 PPG that’s  -16.1 what their opponents normally score.   So,  Florida is likely to score 20 to 21 points. Alabama  averages 31.7 PPG that’s 6.4 more than what their opponents give up.   Florida allows 9.8  PPG that’s -16.0 what their opponents normally score.   So,  Alabama is likely to score 16 points either way.   Against a Vegas line of  6.0 Alabama covers, but loses.

Prediction for      Week 14     IPS Vegas
Arizona 23   USC 28   -5.7 -7.5
Arkansas St. 36   Western Kentucky 18   18.2 6.5
California 31   Washington 24   7.4 6.5
Cincinnati 29   Pittsburgh 29   0.4 0.0
Fla. Atlantic 35   Florida Int’l 33   2.1 0.0
Fresno St. 27   Illinois 27   -0.5 -1.0
NM St. 0   Boise State 50   -50.2 -46.5
Oregon St. 25   Oregon 37   -12.0 -9.5
San Jose St. 10   Louisiana Tech 32   -21.8 -18.5
South Fla. 23   Connecticut 30   -6.9 -7.0
West Virginia 18   Rutgers 24   -6.6 2.5
Wisconsin 37   Hawaii 16   21.2 11.5
Ohio 19   Central Mich. 30   -10.8 -12.0
Houston 39   East Caro. 29   10.4 1.0
Florida 21   Alabama 16   4.7 6.0
Texas 28   Nebraska 15   13.2 13.5
Georgia Tech 28   Clemson 31   -2.1 1.0

IPS Rankings – Week 14

November 30, 2009
    Off Def OppO OppD OImp DImp H2H
1 Texas 43.0 15.4 27.8 25.6 17.4 -12.4 28.7
2 TCU 40.7 12.4 23.8 27.1 13.6 -11.4 26.6
3 Florida 36.5 9.8 25.8 26.3 10.2 -16.0 26.4
4 Boise State 44.3 18.6 26.6 29.8 14.6 -8.0 24.2
5 Alabama 31.7 10.8 27.0 25.3 6.4 -16.1 21.7
6 Oklahoma 31.1 13.5 29.1 24.2 6.8 -15.6 20.0
7 Cincinnati 39.4 18.6 24.2 25.9 13.5 -5.6 19.9
8 Virginia Tech 31.4 15.8 26.6 22.3 9.1 -10.8 17.8
9 Ohio St. 29.3 12.2 25.4 25.0 4.3 -13.3 17.3
10 Penn St. 29.7 11.8 23.8 25.2 4.5 -12.0 17.2
11 Oregon 37.7 22.7 27.9 24.5 13.2 -5.2 16.7
12 Nebraska 25.6 11.1 26.5 24.6 1.0 -15.4 15.5
13 Texas Tech 36.7 21.8 27.3 26.5 10.1 -5.6 15.3
14 Houston 44.9 28.0 25.5 29.5 15.4 2.5 14.9
15 Pittsburgh 32.2 17.7 25.2 25.2 7.0 -7.5 14.5
16 Central Mich. 34.3 17.8 24.1 28.1 6.1 -6.2 14.4
17 Clemson 31.8 19.5 27.1 25.4 6.3 -7.6 13.1
18 Arkansas 37.3 25.8 27.2 24.4 12.9 -1.5 13.0
19 BYU 34.8 21.7 25.6 26.5 8.2 -3.9 12.6
20 Nevada 40.6 27.2 26.7 28.7 11.9 0.5 12.4
21 Air Force 28.3 15.3 23.8 26.3 1.9 -8.5 11.7
22 Tennessee 30.6 21.0 26.2 23.1 7.4 -5.2 11.1
23 LSU 25.5 16.0 27.3 24.2 1.3 -11.3 11.1
24 Georgia Tech 35.0 24.1 25.1 25.0 10.0 -1.0 10.9
25 Miami (Fla.) 31.7 22.3 26.5 23.4 8.3 -4.2 10.9
26 Mississippi 30.3 18.6 24.5 26.2 4.1 -5.9 10.8
27 Stanford 36.2 26.2 25.7 25.5 10.7 0.4 10.1
28 Oregon St. 32.4 22.2 25.6 26.5 5.9 -3.4 9.7
29 Oklahoma St. 30.2 21.8 28.5 26.8 3.3 -6.7 9.2
30 Rutgers 28.1 16.8 23.0 27.4 0.7 -6.2 9.1
31 Utah 29.3 19.7 25.4 26.7 2.5 -5.7 8.9
32 Connecticut 32.4 24.8 25.4 23.4 9.0 -0.5 8.5
33 Iowa 23.1 15.5 25.4 23.8 -0.7 -9.9 8.4
34 Wisconsin 31.1 23.6 25.9 24.7 6.4 -2.3 8.1
35 USC 27.6 20.4 26.4 24.9 2.7 -6.0 7.9
36 Auburn 32.9 26.9 26.7 23.4 9.5 0.2 7.6
37 California 31.0 22.9 24.9 26.3 4.7 -2.0 7.4
38 Arizona 30.5 23.7 26.0 24.9 5.5 -2.3 7.3
39 North Carolina 24.3 16.9 25.9 26.7 -2.3 -9.0 7.0
40 Boston College 25.8 19.4 25.9 24.6 1.1 -6.4 6.9
41 Northern Ill. 30.8 21.2 24.0 30.0 0.8 -2.8 6.6
42 Fresno St. 32.6 25.6 27.6 28.4 4.2 -1.9 6.6
43 Missouri 30.3 24.6 26.4 24.8 5.5 -1.8 6.5
44 West Virginia 26.8 20.7 25.9 25.1 1.8 -5.2 6.5
45 Southern Miss. 33.0 24.5 24.4 28.7 4.3 0.1 6.3
46 Navy 28.3 21.3 25.4 27.0 1.3 -4.1 6.2
47 Notre Dame 30.1 25.9 28.9 25.4 4.6 -3.0 5.9
48 Temple 30.3 21.7 21.3 27.3 2.9 0.3 5.6
49 Middle Tenn. 31.2 23.0 25.1 30.8 0.4 -2.1 5.3
50 Michigan St. 29.6 25.1 25.8 24.4 5.2 -0.8 5.2
51 South Fla. 26.4 20.5 24.6 27.1 -0.7 -4.2 4.7
52 UCF 26.3 20.7 26.7 28.7 -2.4 -6.1 4.7
53 East Caro. 26.9 21.3 25.0 27.3 -0.4 -3.8 4.5
54 Kentucky 27.2 22.8 24.5 24.3 2.9 -1.6 4.4
55 Troy 33.1 28.6 27.3 28.8 4.3 1.3 3.8
56 South Carolina 21.8 20.4 28.2 23.5 -1.8 -7.8 3.7
57 Ohio 26.7 21.4 23.9 27.1 -0.5 -2.5 3.6
58 Georgia 27.7 26.4 27.3 22.6 5.1 -0.8 3.6
59 Kansas 29.4 28.4 27.7 23.8 5.6 0.7 3.0
60 Texas A&M 33.9 32.7 28.2 25.2 8.7 4.5 2.8
61 Mississippi St. 25.6 26.8 30.0 22.3 3.3 -3.3 2.7
62 Michigan 29.5 27.5 24.9 25.4 4.1 2.6 1.7
63 Florida St. 29.8 30.8 28.0 22.9 7.0 2.7 1.6
64 Bowling Green 27.3 26.2 26.5 25.9 1.4 -0.3 1.4
65 UCLA 21.3 21.3 27.6 25.1 -3.7 -6.3 1.3
66 Arizona St. 22.3 21.1 26.5 26.5 -4.1 -5.4 1.3
67 Louisiana Tech 26.8 26.3 28.4 27.4 -0.6 -2.1 1.0
68 Tulsa 29.3 27.3 26.8 29.4 -0.2 0.5 0.6
69 Wake Forest 26.3 26.3 27.3 26.6 -0.3 -1.0 0.4
70 Purdue 27.8 29.1 28.3 25.1 2.7 0.8 0.3
71 Wyoming 16.9 27.3 26.9 26.2 -9.3 0.3 0.0
72 Buffalo 24.1 23.8 24.8 25.8 -1.7 -1.0 -0.2
73 Northwestern 25.2 23.3 22.7 27.1 -2.0 0.6 -0.4
74 Kansas St 23.0 23.3 24.7 25.9 -2.9 -1.4 -0.9
75 NC St. 30.3 31.2 24.4 25.2 5.2 6.8 -1.2
76 Minnesota 21.6 24.6 25.8 22.7 -1.1 -1.2 -1.5
77 Iowa St. 21.1 22.6 23.8 24.7 -3.6 -1.2 -1.9
78 Washington 24.6 28.2 27.9 24.9 -0.2 0.2 -2.0
79 Arkansas St. 22.6 23.6 24.3 27.9 -5.3 -0.7 -2.8
80 SMU 27.9 29.1 25.6 29.8 -1.8 3.5 -3.2
81 La.-Monroe 25.6 27.3 25.9 29.2 -3.6 1.5 -3.4
82 Baylor 20.8 27.3 28.4 22.9 -2.1 -1.2 -3.7
83 Idaho 31.8 35.5 26.9 27.7 4.1 8.6 -4.1
84 Marshall 21.8 24.9 25.6 27.8 -6.0 -0.6 -4.2
85 Duke 25.2 28.3 24.1 26.7 -1.6 4.3 -4.5
86 Virginia 19.3 26.3 27.9 23.5 -4.2 -1.6 -4.8
87 Illinois 21.6 28.1 27.0 24.0 -2.4 1.1 -4.9
88 Utah St. 29.1 34.0 27.9 28.0 1.1 6.1 -5.0
89 Colorado 22.3 28.8 27.6 24.6 -2.4 1.2 -5.1
90 Syracuse 21.2 27.9 25.9 22.7 -1.5 2.1 -5.1
91 UAB 27.8 32.3 27.5 28.9 -1.1 4.8 -5.2
92 UTEP 29.8 33.5 26.3 29.5 0.3 7.2 -5.3
93 Western Mich. 24.7 27.5 23.6 28.6 -3.9 3.9 -5.3
94 Kent St. 19.3 22.4 21.9 27.4 -8.2 0.5 -5.9
95 Louisville 18.1 26.3 27.5 23.0 -4.9 -1.2 -5.9
96 Indiana 23.5 29.5 24.3 24.3 -0.8 5.2 -6.0
97 Hawaii 23.8 27.7 25.6 30.1 -6.2 2.1 -6.1
98 Vanderbilt 16.3 23.3 25.5 24.1 -7.8 -2.2 -6.3
99 UNLV 24.8 32.4 26.6 25.6 -0.8 5.8 -7.1
100 Colorado St. 21.7 29.8 26.7 27.0 -5.4 3.1 -8.3
101 San Diego St. 23.3 30.5 24.1 26.7 -3.3 6.4 -8.5
102 Fla. Atlantic 27.4 34.9 24.9 27.3 0.0 10.0 -8.8
103 Toledo 29.7 37.7 25.1 26.8 2.9 12.6 -8.8
104 Army 16.5 22.4 21.7 27.7 -11.2 0.6 -8.9
105 Maryland 21.3 31.3 26.8 24.8 -3.5 4.4 -8.9
106 Akron 19.3 28.8 24.6 25.0 -5.7 4.2 -9.7
107 La.-Lafayette 22.2 30.3 24.6 28.2 -6.0 5.7 -9.9
108 Wyoming 16.9 27.3 26.9 26.2 -9.3 0.3 -10.0
109 Ball St. 19.2 28.2 25.6 27.9 -8.7 2.5 -10.1
110 North Texas 26.6 35.6 25.0 27.3 -0.7 10.6 -10.2
111 Memphis 21.8 34.8 28.6 26.1 -4.3 6.2 -11.7
112 Florida Int’l 23.1 36.0 28.0 25.9 -2.8 8.0 -11.9
113 Miami (Ohio) 15.6 34.2 29.1 23.8 -8.2 5.1 -15.9
114 New Mexico 16.3 35.9 27.6 25.1 -8.8 8.3 -18.4
115 San Jose St. 13.2 32.6 29.0 27.6 -14.4 3.7 -18.8
116 Tulane 16.1 36.7 26.6 27.4 -11.3 10.0 -21.0
117 NM St. 11.8 30.8 25.7 29.9 -18.1 5.1 -21.0
118 Eastern Mich. 16.4 38.3 26.3 25.3 -8.9 11.9 -21.3
119 Rice 18.3 43.1 28.4 26.4 -8.2 14.7 -23.9
120 Washington St. 12.0 38.5 28.8 24.3 -12.3 9.7 -24.2

IPS Predictions – Week 13

November 24, 2009

Well, the IPS seems to be in a cycle of good one week, bad the next. It went a pathetic 18-28 against the line. But, if the cycle continues, hopefully this will be a better week.

Prediction for      Week 13     IPS Vegas
Alabama 32   Auburn 20   12.0 12.0
Arizona 24   Arizona St. 23   1.3 2.5
Arkansas 26   LSU 25   0.8 -3.5
Ball St. 19   Western Mich. 29   -9.4 -10.0
Boston College 27   Marshall 12   14.6 6.0
Buffalo 23   Kent St. 21   1.8 4.0
Clemson 26   South Carolina 14   11.7 3.0
Eastern Mich. 19   Akron 33   -13.9 -17.0
Florida St. 17   Florida 41   -23.9 -22.5
Georgia 27   Georgia Tech 37   -10.4 -7.0
Illinois 11   Cincinnati 41   -30.2 -17.0
Marshall 29   UTEP 24   4.8 -1.0
Memphis 21   Tulsa 36   -15.4 -15.5
Miami (Fla.) 26   South Fla. 26   0.0 1.0
Middle Tenn. 27   La.-Monroe 24   3.4 4.0
Mississippi 28   Mississippi St. 18   10.0 7.0
Missouri 30   Kansas 28   2.0 4.0
Navy 32   Hawaii 17   14.5 7.5
Nebraska 26   Colorado 9   16.6 8.0
Nevada 30   Boise State 44   -13.4 -10.5
New Mexico 3   TCU 48   -44.9 -43.0
NM St. 15   San Jose St. 21   -5.9 -10.0
North Carolina 30   NC St. 21   8.5 5.0
North Texas 22   Arkansas St. 34   -11.9 -6.5
Northern Ill. 18   Central Mich. 28   -10.3 -9.5
Notre Dame 26   Stanford 35   -8.4 -7.5
Oklahoma St. 18   Oklahoma 28   -10.3 -8.5
Pittsburgh 29   West Virginia 21   8.6 1.0
Rice 21   Houston 56   -35.3 -28.0
Rutgers 24   Louisville 14   10.4 4.0
San Diego St. 28   UNLV 33   -4.8 -4.0
Southern Miss. 28   East Caro. 27   0.8 -3.5
Syracuse 18   Connecticut 33   -14.9 -12.0
Temple 26   Ohio 24   1.6 3.0
Tennessee 27   Kentucky 25   2.4 3.5
Texas 45   Texas A&M 22   23.4 22.5
Texas Tech 37   Baylor 21   15.7 22.5
Toledo 28   Bowling Green 42   -13.9 -9.5
Troy 32   La.-Lafayette 24   7.4 10.0
Tulane 16   SMU 41   -24.2 -17.0
UCF 27   UAB 23   4.9 3.0
UCLA 18   USC 22   -4.5 -12.5
Utah 23   BYU 31   -8.7 -7.5
Utah St. 32   Idaho 37   -4.4 0.0
Virginia Tech 28   Virginia 13   15.5 13.0
Wake Forest 26   Duke 23   2.8 3.0
Washington St. 16   Washington 38   -21.8 -23.5
Western Kentucky 27   Fla. Atlantic 46   -18.6 -12.5
Wyoming 21   Colorado St. 24   -3.2 -3.0

Impact Rankings – Week 13

November 24, 2009

Texas still a solid #1 in the IPS rankings. That’s not any home cooking on my part. The Horns simply have score more and allowed less points relative to our opponents.

    Off Def OppO OppD OImp DImp H2H
1 Texas 42.5 13.3 27.4 25.0 17.4 -14.1 30.3
2 Florida 36.5 9.8 25.1 25.7 10.8 -15.3 26.3
3 TCU 39.7 12.6 24.8 26.4 13.4 -12.2 26.3
4 Boise State 44.4 17.3 24.9 30.0 14.3 -7.6 24.5
5 Alabama 32.2 9.9 26.2 24.8 7.4 -16.3 23.0
6 Cincinnati 38.4 16.9 24.4 25.3 13.1 -7.5 21.1
7 Oklahoma 31.5 14.7 29.1 24.2 7.3 -14.4 19.2
8 Virginia Tech 30.5 16.0 27.4 21.6 8.9 -11.4 17.4
9 Ohio St. 29.3 12.2 25.5 25.0 4.2 -13.3 17.3
10 Penn St. 29.7 11.8 23.6 24.7 4.9 -11.8 17.3
11 Oregon 37.7 22.7 28.2 24.7 13.0 -5.5 16.7
12 Texas Tech 38.2 22.6 27.9 25.8 12.4 -5.3 16.7
13 Nebraska 25.4 10.3 26.7 24.2 1.2 -16.4 16.4
14 Pittsburgh 33.8 17.6 25.0 25.2 8.6 -7.4 16.1
15 Clemson 33.1 18.2 27.7 25.9 7.2 -9.5 15.8
16 Arkansas 38.0 25.1 27.1 24.9 13.1 -2.0 14.0
17 Central Mich. 33.3 16.6 23.6 29.3 4.0 -7.0 13.8
18 Mississippi 30.6 16.6 24.4 25.9 4.7 -7.9 13.3
19 Nevada 41.3 25.6 24.7 29.6 11.6 1.0 13.1
20 BYU 35.6 21.6 25.2 27.4 8.2 -3.7 12.9
21 Georgia Tech 36.0 23.6 24.7 24.5 11.5 -1.2 12.6
22 Houston 42.4 29.3 26.3 28.6 13.8 3.0 11.9
23 Oklahoma St. 32.9 21.3 28.0 27.6 5.3 -6.8 11.8
24 Air Force 28.3 15.3 24.0 26.4 1.8 -8.7 11.7
25 Tennessee 30.6 20.7 26.1 23.1 7.6 -5.4 11.4
26 LSU 24.8 14.7 26.3 24.0 0.9 -11.5 11.2
27 Miami (Fla.) 31.7 23.5 26.6 23.1 8.7 -3.2 10.1
28 Stanford 35.4 25.1 25.5 26.0 9.3 -0.4 10.0
29 Oregon St. 32.4 22.2 25.7 26.7 5.6 -3.5 9.6
30 Utah 29.8 19.1 24.4 27.4 2.4 -5.3 9.2
31 Rutgers 27.5 17.1 23.5 27.0 0.5 -6.4 8.6
32 Iowa 23.1 15.5 25.4 23.8 -0.7 -9.9 8.4
33 Wisconsin 31.1 23.6 25.9 24.5 6.6 -2.3 8.2
34 Auburn 34.0 27.0 26.2 24.3 9.7 0.8 7.9
35 North Carolina 24.1 15.9 25.5 26.0 -1.9 -9.6 7.9
36 Boston College 26.4 19.6 26.3 24.1 2.3 -6.6 7.8
37 Navy 29.4 21.1 25.6 26.5 2.8 -4.5 7.8
38 Arizona 31.5 24.4 26.4 25.4 6.1 -2.0 7.6
39 Northern Ill. 30.7 19.0 22.8 31.3 -0.5 -3.8 7.5
40 California 31.0 22.9 25.3 26.5 4.5 -2.3 7.4
41 Connecticut 30.0 24.2 25.8 22.6 7.4 -1.6 7.4
42 Temple 31.5 20.5 21.1 28.3 3.1 -0.6 7.4
43 Missouri 29.4 23.3 26.2 23.9 5.4 -2.9 7.2
44 Southern Miss. 34.2 24.5 23.8 29.0 5.1 0.7 7.1
45 South Fla. 28.0 19.4 24.1 27.2 0.8 -4.7 7.0
46 Notre Dame 29.4 24.2 28.4 25.6 3.7 -4.2 6.6
47 West Virginia 27.6 21.2 25.2 24.9 2.7 -4.0 6.6
48 Fresno St. 32.6 25.6 27.2 28.2 4.5 -1.6 6.5
49 USC 27.5 21.7 26.8 25.6 1.9 -5.1 6.4
50 Michigan St. 29.6 25.1 25.6 24.0 5.6 -0.6 5.3
51 Kentucky 27.5 22.2 23.9 24.4 3.1 -1.7 5.0
52 UCF 25.6 20.1 26.5 28.2 -2.6 -6.5 4.7
53 East Caro. 27.1 21.4 24.2 27.1 0.0 -2.8 4.3
54 Middle Tenn. 30.6 23.4 24.7 31.2 -0.6 -1.4 4.0
55 Florida St. 31.6 30.2 27.6 23.6 8.1 2.6 3.5
56 Kansas 28.6 27.3 27.4 23.6 5.0 -0.2 3.2
57 Georgia 27.5 26.6 26.9 22.2 5.3 -0.2 3.2
58 UCLA 22.6 20.6 27.7 25.8 -3.1 -7.1 3.0
59 Texas A&M 33.5 31.2 27.3 26.0 7.5 3.9 2.9
60 Troy 31.7 28.4 27.7 28.8 2.9 0.7 2.8
61 South Carolina 20.6 20.7 28.0 23.6 -3.0 -7.3 2.1
62 Michigan 29.5 27.5 24.7 25.2 4.3 2.8 1.8
63 Ohio 25.9 21.8 23.2 27.8 -1.9 -1.3 1.8
64 Arizona St. 22.8 21.2 26.3 26.9 -4.1 -5.1 1.3
65 Mississippi St. 24.2 26.7 30.0 22.4 1.8 -3.2 1.2
66 Louisiana Tech 26.8 26.3 28.3 27.0 -0.2 -2.0 1.2
67 Tulsa 28.9 27.1 27.1 29.3 -0.4 0.0 0.7
68 Bowling Green 26.4 26.4 25.9 24.7 1.7 0.4 0.6
69 Purdue 27.8 29.1 28.2 24.6 3.2 0.9 0.5
70 Wyoming 16.9 28.3 27.4 25.8 -8.8 0.8 0.0
71 Wake Forest 24.6 25.6 28.1 26.4 -1.8 -2.5 -0.1
72 Northwestern 25.2 23.3 22.5 26.8 -1.6 0.8 -0.3
73 Buffalo 25.5 25.4 25.0 26.1 -0.7 0.3 -0.5
74 Kansas St 23.0 23.3 24.7 25.5 -2.5 -1.4 -0.7
75 Minnesota 21.6 24.6 25.6 22.3 -0.8 -1.0 -1.4
76 NC St. 30.6 31.6 24.5 25.7 4.8 7.0 -1.6
77 Iowa St. 21.1 22.6 24.0 24.4 -3.3 -1.4 -1.7
78 Marshall 21.9 22.5 25.0 27.5 -5.5 -2.6 -1.7
79 La.-Monroe 26.2 26.4 25.1 29.6 -3.4 1.2 -2.4
80 Arkansas St. 21.8 23.3 23.9 26.8 -5.0 -0.6 -3.0
81 SMU 28.1 29.8 26.2 28.9 -0.8 3.6 -3.1
82 Virginia 19.9 24.9 27.8 24.0 -4.1 -2.9 -3.1
83 Syracuse 20.3 25.4 25.5 22.3 -2.0 -0.1 -3.5
84 Washington 24.1 31.0 29.4 23.1 1.0 1.6 -3.7
85 Duke 24.4 26.8 23.9 26.7 -2.3 3.0 -3.9
86 Baylor 21.5 27.9 27.5 22.5 -1.1 0.4 -4.0
87 Idaho 30.3 34.0 26.8 27.5 2.8 7.2 -4.1
88 Louisville 18.5 25.6 27.5 22.9 -4.4 -2.0 -4.8
89 Western Mich. 25.4 28.0 24.2 28.7 -3.3 3.8 -4.9
90 Illinois 20.2 26.0 25.7 24.4 -4.2 0.3 -5.2
91 UAB 27.8 32.2 27.4 29.1 -1.3 4.7 -5.2
92 Colorado 22.5 28.9 28.0 25.5 -3.0 0.9 -5.2
93 Utah St. 27.0 32.6 27.7 27.3 -0.3 5.0 -5.5
94 Indiana 23.5 29.5 24.3 24.1 -0.6 5.2 -5.9
95 Vanderbilt 16.3 23.3 25.4 23.5 -7.2 -2.1 -6.1
96 Kent St. 20.5 23.6 21.8 28.0 -7.5 1.9 -6.3
97 UNLV 24.6 33.2 27.1 25.2 -0.6 6.1 -7.7
98 Hawaii 23.8 28.6 25.2 30.8 -7.0 3.5 -7.7
99 Toledo 30.2 37.6 24.9 26.6 3.6 12.7 -8.3
100 Colorado St. 22.2 31.0 27.6 26.7 -4.5 3.4 -8.4
101 San Diego St. 23.3 30.7 24.2 26.1 -2.9 6.6 -8.4
102 UTEP 27.8 34.6 26.5 30.0 -2.1 8.2 -8.6
103 Army 16.5 22.4 21.6 27.8 -11.3 0.8 -9.0
104 Fla. Atlantic 27.2 36.1 24.9 25.8 1.4 11.2 -9.3
105 La.-Lafayette 21.4 28.7 23.7 28.1 -6.8 5.1 -9.6
106 Maryland 21.7 32.4 26.8 25.0 -3.2 5.5 -9.7
107 Akron 18.5 29.5 25.3 23.4 -5.0 4.1 -10.1
108 Wyoming 16.9 28.3 27.4 25.8 -8.8 0.8 -10.5
109 North Texas 26.6 36.1 24.9 27.7 -1.0 11.2 -10.8
110 Ball St. 18.9 29.2 25.7 27.7 -8.8 3.5 -11.3
111 Florida Int’l 23.1 36.0 27.7 25.7 -2.6 8.3 -11.9
112 Memphis 21.1 35.0 28.2 25.7 -4.6 6.8 -12.7
113 Miami (Ohio) 15.6 34.2 29.3 23.5 -7.9 4.9 -15.7
114 New Mexico 16.9 34.6 26.6 26.6 -9.7 7.9 -17.6
115 San Jose St. 13.2 34.9 30.4 26.8 -13.6 4.5 -19.9
116 Rice 18.6 40.4 27.1 26.5 -7.8 13.3 -21.4
117 NM St. 12.0 32.4 26.4 29.3 -17.3 5.9 -21.8
118 Eastern Mich. 16.0 39.2 27.2 24.8 -8.8 12.0 -22.0
119 Tulane 15.6 37.6 26.2 26.8 -11.2 11.5 -22.3
120 Washington St. 13.1 39.3 29.3 24.0 -10.9 10.0 -23.5

Impact Rankings – Week 12

November 16, 2009

With the high scoring victories, TCU and Boise push past Florida and Bama in this weeks rankings. But, the Gators and Tide get a couple of cupcakes to reverse the trend this week.

Also interesting to see the Sooners also make a move with the 55 point MOV over the Aggies. Their defense is good enough to ranked with the big boys, but their offense is just too damn inconsistent.

    Off Def OppO OppD OImp DImp H2H
1 Texas 41.6 12.6 27.4 24.6 17.0 -14.8 30.4
2 TCU 39.2 12.9 25.6 25.9 13.3 -12.7 26.2
3 Boise State 43.6 16.9 24.7 29.5 14.1 -7.8 24.3
4 Florida 33.9 10.5 25.1 24.4 9.5 -14.6 23.8
5 Oklahoma 33.3 12.1 28.6 24.0 9.3 -16.5 23.5
6 Alabama 30.9 10.9 27.9 23.2 7.7 -17.0 22.4
7 Cincinnati 38.4 16.9 24.2 25.1 13.3 -7.3 21.1
8 Ohio St. 30.0 12.4 25.0 24.8 5.2 -12.6 17.7
9 Oregon 37.1 20.9 27.8 24.8 12.3 -6.9 17.7
10 Nebraska 26.2 11.0 27.5 23.5 2.7 -16.5 17.2
11 Clemson 33.0 17.9 28.6 26.1 6.9 -10.7 16.4
12 Pittsburgh 33.8 17.6 25.0 24.9 8.9 -7.4 16.3
13 Virginia Tech 29.7 16.6 26.7 20.7 9.0 -10.1 16.1
14 Penn St. 28.6 11.6 23.3 25.0 3.6 -11.7 16.1
15 Texas Tech 37.9 23.5 27.4 27.3 10.6 -3.9 14.5
16 Mississippi 31.1 15.9 24.3 26.8 4.3 -8.4 13.9
17 Air Force 28.9 13.3 23.0 27.0 1.9 -9.8 13.6
18 Arkansas 37.6 25.5 26.8 25.0 12.6 -1.3 13.0
19 Oklahoma St. 33.1 20.6 28.3 27.8 5.3 -7.7 12.8
20 Georgia Tech 36.0 23.6 24.7 24.3 11.7 -1.1 12.7
21 Central Mich. 33.1 18.0 23.8 29.0 4.1 -5.8 12.5
22 BYU 35.3 21.6 25.4 27.9 7.4 -3.8 12.4
23 Rutgers 29.1 15.6 23.9 26.9 2.2 -8.3 12.0
24 LSU 25.0 13.7 25.7 24.5 0.5 -12.0 11.9
25 Tennessee 30.6 21.2 26.7 22.8 7.8 -5.5 11.3
26 Nevada 39.1 26.2 26.0 29.4 9.7 0.2 11.2
27 Stanford 36.1 24.2 24.9 26.3 9.8 -0.7 11.2
28 Boston College 27.7 18.5 26.7 24.6 3.1 -8.2 10.2
29 Houston 41.1 30.8 26.6 27.7 13.4 4.2 9.7
30 Wisconsin 31.1 22.6 26.6 24.6 6.5 -4.0 9.5
31 Miami (Fla.) 31.5 24.2 26.7 22.7 8.9 -2.5 9.3
32 Oregon St. 31.4 23.4 27.0 25.2 6.2 -3.6 8.9
33 Northern Ill. 30.7 17.1 22.3 32.1 -1.4 -5.2 8.7
34 Iowa 24.1 16.9 26.0 23.0 1.1 -9.0 8.7
35 Auburn 34.0 27.0 26.3 23.9 10.1 0.7 8.2
36 Connecticut 29.7 23.6 25.5 22.0 7.7 -2.0 7.9
37 Arizona 30.4 22.2 25.2 26.0 4.4 -3.0 7.8
38 Navy 29.4 21.1 25.5 26.4 3.0 -4.4 7.8
39 Utah 29.0 20.3 24.4 26.6 2.4 -4.1 7.6
40 Michigan St. 31.0 23.6 25.5 25.4 5.6 -2.0 7.5
41 Notre Dame 29.3 23.3 28.4 25.7 3.6 -5.1 7.4
42 California 30.7 22.4 24.3 26.6 4.1 -1.9 7.1
43 Missouri 28.9 23.2 26.7 24.1 4.8 -3.5 7.0
44 Fresno St. 32.9 25.4 27.1 28.2 4.7 -1.7 6.9
45 South Fla. 27.3 19.1 24.8 27.4 -0.1 -5.7 6.9
46 Southern Miss. 33.2 23.5 23.1 28.7 4.5 0.4 6.9
47 USC 27.5 21.7 26.9 25.4 2.1 -5.2 6.6
48 North Carolina 23.4 16.2 25.1 26.6 -3.2 -8.9 6.4
49 West Virginia 27.6 21.2 24.5 24.8 2.8 -3.3 6.2
50 Kansas 29.4 24.9 26.3 24.3 5.1 -1.4 5.5
51 Kentucky 26.8 21.7 23.2 24.0 2.8 -1.5 4.7
52 Temple 29.9 21.2 20.8 28.9 1.0 0.4 4.7
53 Tulsa 29.7 23.3 26.0 29.7 -0.1 -2.6 4.4
54 Georgia 27.5 25.9 26.7 22.1 5.4 -0.8 3.9
55 Florida St. 31.9 30.6 28.3 23.5 8.4 2.3 3.7
56 UCLA 22.6 21.4 28.4 25.8 -3.2 -7.0 2.5
57 Arizona St. 23.8 21.0 26.6 27.3 -3.5 -5.6 2.5
58 Mississippi St. 24.5 25.2 28.5 22.3 2.2 -3.3 2.4
59 Middle Tenn. 29.8 24.3 25.3 31.6 -1.8 -1.0 2.4
60 Michigan 31.3 28.1 24.3 26.1 5.2 3.8 2.3
61 South Carolina 20.6 20.7 27.9 23.4 -2.8 -7.2 2.1
62 Louisiana Tech 26.7 25.9 27.6 26.7 0.0 -1.7 1.2
63 Troy 30.2 29.1 27.8 28.1 2.1 1.3 1.0
64 UCF 23.3 22.1 26.7 27.3 -4.0 -4.6 0.9
65 East Caro. 24.1 21.9 23.3 26.3 -2.2 -1.4 0.7
66 Ohio 24.7 20.9 22.4 28.6 -3.9 -1.5 0.7
67 NC St. 32.6 30.9 24.1 26.5 6.1 6.8 0.5
68 Texas A&M 33.0 34.0 28.1 25.4 7.6 5.9 0.4
69 Wake Forest 24.6 25.6 28.6 26.2 -1.6 -3.0 0.3
70 Wyoming 17.6 26.6 26.1 26.8 -9.2 0.5 0.0
71 Kansas St 24.8 23.9 24.7 26.8 -2.0 -0.8 -0.1
72 Purdue 26.9 29.8 28.8 23.8 3.1 1.0 -0.4
73 Bowling Green 25.4 27.0 26.2 23.9 1.5 0.8 -0.5
74 Baylor 23.3 26.9 27.1 20.9 2.4 -0.2 -0.5
75 Minnesota 23.6 25.7 25.7 22.6 0.9 0.0 -0.6
76 Arkansas St. 22.7 21.7 23.5 27.2 -4.5 -1.8 -0.8
77 Northwestern 24.5 22.6 21.8 27.2 -2.7 0.9 -0.9
78 Iowa St. 20.8 21.6 24.1 24.5 -3.7 -2.5 -0.9
79 La.-Monroe 27.1 26.9 25.8 29.2 -2.1 1.1 -1.5
80 Marshall 20.7 21.6 24.2 27.1 -6.4 -2.6 -2.4
81 Buffalo 23.8 26.2 25.3 25.7 -1.9 0.9 -2.6
82 Duke 25.2 26.1 23.2 26.8 -1.6 2.9 -2.7
83 Virginia 19.8 24.0 27.3 24.4 -4.6 -3.3 -2.8
84 SMU 27.8 29.4 26.2 29.5 -1.7 3.2 -3.3
85 Washington 24.1 31.0 29.4 22.6 1.5 1.6 -3.5
86 Kent St. 21.2 21.3 20.8 28.1 -6.9 0.5 -3.8
87 Idaho 30.3 34.0 26.6 27.3 3.0 7.4 -4.1
88 Louisville 18.1 24.7 27.2 23.1 -5.0 -2.5 -4.6
89 UAB 28.5 31.7 27.1 29.8 -1.3 4.6 -4.6
90 Utah St. 27.6 30.7 25.7 28.8 -1.2 5.0 -4.7
91 Indiana 23.7 28.7 24.1 23.5 0.2 4.7 -4.7
92 Western Mich. 25.4 28.0 24.2 28.4 -3.0 3.8 -4.7
93 Illinois 20.2 26.0 26.0 24.4 -4.2 0.0 -5.0
94 Vanderbilt 16.4 22.6 24.6 23.6 -7.3 -2.0 -5.8
95 Colorado 21.9 28.7 27.4 25.8 -3.9 1.3 -6.0
96 Syracuse 19.2 26.6 25.2 22.6 -3.4 1.4 -6.1
97 San Diego St. 24.9 30.0 23.4 26.3 -1.4 6.6 -6.6
98 Fla. Atlantic 27.9 34.9 24.7 25.6 2.2 10.2 -7.5
99 UTEP 27.7 35.1 27.2 27.8 -0.1 7.9 -7.7
100 Hawaii 24.5 30.5 26.1 29.8 -5.3 4.4 -7.9
101 UNLV 24.6 33.2 26.7 25.4 -0.8 6.5 -8.0
102 Colorado St. 21.7 31.2 28.5 25.8 -4.1 2.7 -8.2
103 Florida Int’l 25.1 33.4 26.8 27.8 -2.7 6.6 -8.8
104 Army 16.4 23.3 21.5 26.2 -9.8 1.8 -9.2
105 Wyoming 17.6 26.6 26.1 26.8 -9.2 0.5 -9.3
106 Akron 18.3 28.8 24.6 23.0 -4.7 4.2 -9.7
107 Maryland 21.3 32.7 26.6 24.1 -2.8 6.1 -10.2
108 Ball St. 20.5 28.6 24.5 29.0 -8.5 4.1 -10.4
109 Toledo 28.5 39.3 25.9 25.1 3.4 13.4 -10.4
110 La.-Lafayette 21.4 29.9 24.1 28.1 -6.7 5.8 -10.5
111 Memphis 21.8 33.0 26.1 25.5 -3.7 6.9 -10.9
112 North Texas 28.0 38.0 25.8 28.1 -0.1 12.2 -11.2
113 Miami (Ohio) 15.5 33.5 29.0 23.0 -7.5 4.4 -15.0
114 New Mexico 15.7 35.3 27.2 25.5 -9.8 8.1 -18.8
115 Tulane 17.2 36.5 25.8 27.2 -10.0 10.7 -20.0
116 NM St. 11.2 29.3 25.2 29.7 -18.5 4.1 -20.4
117 Eastern Mich. 15.5 38.4 27.0 23.4 -7.9 11.4 -21.1
118 San Jose St. 13.6 36.9 30.8 26.4 -12.8 6.0 -21.1
119 Washington St. 13.4 39.0 29.0 23.7 -10.3 10.0 -23.0
120 Rice 17.5 41.5 26.7 25.3 -7.8 14.8 -23.3